Global Changes in Governance to Tech based Rebalancing
By: Amit Bhushan Date: 1st Nov. 2017
The economic signals emanating have a distinct pattern. The political leadership across most of Asia and Africa is striving hard for a tech based rebalance. Taking broader examples- there have been improvement in metrics reported on ‘ease of doing business’ and this is not just in India, but even many south east Asian nations (such as Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia) and even Nigeria (or even Kenya), which has reported a distinct jump. Similarly, Saudi Arabia has unveiled a roadmap for broader tech-driven growth plans with aspirations to put together new city/ies under entirely new supportive legislations. The signal from Arab world with its energy resources would ensure that the changes percolate widely there as well as become a trend to be adopted for the region. This broadly sums up as a trend though the growth in ‘public platforms’ which are in line with the taste of the nations or region and their wider adoption is yet to pick up. There has been growth in the local e-commerce platforms and reported business though.
Soon what is likely is that the internet technologies which prove their saliency in one market may feel compelled to address similar markets by replication of eco-systems supported by easier transcend of information and tech enabled processes. With the governments under pressure to adopt technologies and ease controls on businesses, it is perhaps high time that the businesses themselves become more amenable to technologies, their faster and wider adoption across entire spectrum of enterprise activities and leverage the same to scale up faster. One of the key metric perhaps that needs to tracked is how easy is for an international food franchise to set up shop either fully owned , joint venture or as a co-branded entity since food is perhaps easier of the businesses. Currently many nations have artificial barriers and regulations that have hindered the flow of ideas and the sincerity to push jobs growth first should see this wave of liberalization rather quickly than just hi-tech stuff. It may be noted that most open business centers are also high on food businesses even if there strength is not recorded be that London or Paris or New York, each of them would boast of food joints from almost everywhere in the world and this is due to supportive local policies.
As the local services grow in sophistication on the back of technology adoption, there is likelihood of rise of local service conglomerate and domestic consumption in these markets. Further strengthening of the local banking, insurance, retail & wholesale trading would lead to demand for real estate as well as government services such as education, health care, legal services etc. besides energy. While many of the governments might be glued on to attract manufacturing, however given the sharply changing competitiveness, most investors are still skeptical. The light manufacturing especially of consumer goods viz. fast moving as well as durables may however start to move to be locally manufactured given the local preferences and tastes taking on a higher weightage and also propelled by supportive regulations and standards. This short to medium term trend is likely even as nations may continue to jostle with geo-economics as well as geo-political rebalance for their own advantage.
The Netas more often tend to identify themselves with the trend on their ride to popularity rather than starting something new and/or educating people about the same. This especially when a mega-trend is witnessed across regions. Of course we have some hold outs in the region like Pakistan remaining struck with the past in blocking trade and transit and in the process killing business liberalization opportunities for its own people. It might be trying hard alongside China to start some new trade lanes though fate of which might be unknown at best. There also may be nations that have not seen much transformation beyond an initial spur in politics. There is likely to be continued pressure to diversify manufacturing away from hitherto manufacturing nations towards consumption centers or resource centers for a much greater value addition at those places. This is likely to keep politics busy and would continue to swing fortunes of the Netas as this had done in the recent past.