Banking Sector Stress - India Vs UK
By: Amit Bhushan Date: 21st May 2016
It is said that democratic polity in India draws a lot of inspiration from democracy in more mature countries like UK from where we imported our constitution. The United Kingdom was impacted by crisis in their banking sector as a result of financial meltdown in the USA in around 2008 which subsequently engulfed the whole world but Europe in particular was much badly impacted. While the government had to step in with tax-payers money to bail out the banks which were mostly private however it did so with strict conditionality that the small enterprises as well as household credit supply should continue uninterrupted.
In fact some of the conditions related to loans to individuals/employees losing jobs were turned even friendlier. This ensured political support for the bank bailout although dole out of tax-payers funds to bail out banks still remains unpopular. Much of the population still wants capping on salaries of bankers as well as higher capitalization so that banks manage their own affairs by absorbing all business risks on their own rather than bothering taxpayers or creating conditions that freezes normal functioning of the markets.
The regulators as well as legislators seen pushing through the same remain popular while those free market champions who are trying to shrug off the bailout package as happenstance (& no corrective measures required) are losing ground. By comparison, what we see in India is that banks have lost money on corporate debt which is not regulated i.e. no law or statute forces the banks to lend to the sector; and by implication banks can choose to be as strict as possible in making these credit evaluations. This seems to be causing some consternation and Public sector banks are seeking tax-payers money to bail themselves out.
Now there seems to be political forces as well as intelligentsia in support for the move as this accordingly will propel economic growth however this is being done without any correctives so that credit supply for the small businesses and retail remaining intact. While the banks have indeed cried hoarse in the past about agri-sector stress and governments have intervened with loan waivers which the same intelligentsia opposed. This opposition was on account of cultivation of the practice of not servicing loans by agriculturalists or even allowing banks with adverse selection practices which would tend to derail the economy. However when it comes to corporate loans, no data is released that which loans or accounts have been bad for how long.
The information on past bail out for the groups or writeoff / haircut or interest waivers is withheld from public in public interest (or on account of privacy of banking data, which we do not know if it should apply on writeoffs/hair cut since defaulter's list is a public list). What is discussed is simplistic issues like steel & power sector facing low demand and roads being held on account of clearances as reasons for much of the stress. A look as the history of defaults and past bail outs received by these account holders can be quite revealing.What is being discussed is accounting treatment that can be resorted to these loans or fiscal measures for the stressed sectors to bail out the promoters.
While government resorting to tariff and non-tariff measures in conjunction with the affected industry as well as the consumer industry might have support and the resultant impact on people will be witnessed in electoral ramblings. It is however the banking related measures whereby which the defaulters are perennially protected or even continued to be lent with more loans (evergreening of these loan accounts), is a measure that needs to be checked. This denies other borrowers with their chance as well as banks developing an unhealthy practice of not competing to seek enough credit worthy clients, which actually kills entrepreneurship. With India making noises around startups and running multiple schemes, let's see how it pans out.