Qantas Approached by Macquarie Bank, Texas Pacific
Nov. 22 (Bloomberg) -- Qantas Airways Ltd., Australia's biggest airline, received a takeover approach from Macquarie Bank Ltd. and Texas Pacific Group that would rival the US Airways Group Inc.'s bid for Delta Air Lines Inc. as the biggest in aviation history.
The proposal is ``conditional upon the support of the Qantas board,'' Sydney-based Macquarie, the nation's biggest investment bank, said in a statement today. Qantas shares jumped 15 percent, valuing the airline at A$9.9 billion ($7.6 billion).
Qantas has reported 13 straight years of profit and last month raised its earnings forecast, withstanding an industry slump that triggered $40 billion of losses by global airlines since 2001. Macquarie's plan drew criticism from lawmakers and labor unions concerned a takeover may lead to the breakup of a company that has been an Australian icon since its founding in 1920.
``It's hugely ambitious,'' said Matt Crowe, a transport analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Sydney. ``You've got the unions to get on side, the government to keep on side; it would be a landmark transaction and I don't think anyone's ever done anything like it.''
Texas Pacific founder David Bonderman bought Continental Airlines Inc. in 1993, when the U.S. carrier hadn't produced a profit in 15 years. Two years later, it was making money and in 1998, he sold his stake for about $700 million, a 10-fold return. The Fort Worth, Texas-based buyout firm has also invested in America West Airlines Inc., Ryanair Holdings Plc and Tiger Airways Pte.
The approach is ``incomplete and is being investigated,'' Qantas said in a statement. Edna Hedstrom, a Melbourne-based spokeswoman for Texas Pacific, declined to comment.
Protected Market
Buying Qantas would be a departure for Macquarie, which typically targets essential infrastructure assets such as airports, toll roads and water utilities that offer predictable returns.
Macquarie last month led a group that agreed to buy Thames Water, the U.K.'s largest water services company, for $9.1 billion. Cintra SA and Macquarie Infrastructure Group in June paid $3.8 billion for a 75-year lease on the Indiana Toll Road, the largest U.S. highway privatization.
Still, Qantas's dominant position in Australia makes it a less risky proposition. The airline carries two of every three domestic travelers, and one of every three travelers leaving Australia.
``Australia is a fairly protected domestic market and Qantas is in a pretty good position,'' said Peter Drolet, an analyst at UOB Kay Hian Ltd. in Hong Kong.
The government this year rejected Singapore Airlines Ltd.'s request to fly from Australia to the U.S., a route served directly only by Qantas and UAL Corp.'s United Airlines.
``This is an offensive move on an Australian icon, the Flying Kangaroo,'' said Barnaby Joyce, a Nationals Party Senator from Queensland state, referring to the company's logo. ``Something has to be done to protect the national interest.''
Ownership Limits
Qantas stock rose 65 cents to A$5 at the 4:10 p.m. market close in Sydney, and reached a high of A$5.25, making it the third-most traded stock on the Australian Stock Exchange. Before today, Qantas stock had risen 7.8 percent this year, trailing the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index's 14 percent gain.
The perceived risk of owning Qantas's bonds jumped on concern the bidders would sell more debt upon a successful takeover. Credit- default swaps on $10 million of Qantas bonds rose 75 percent to $53,500 from $30,500 yesterday, according to prices from JPMorgan. An increase in the cost of the contracts indicates a deterioration in credit quality; a decrease suggests improvement.
Any deal would have to be structured to overcome government- imposed shareholder limits on Qantas that restrict a single investor to a 25 percent stake, and cap total foreign ownership at 49 percent.
Macquarie Bank Chief Executive Officer Allan Moss, 57, may also face political and labor union opposition to a takeover.
`Icon Companies'
``We're opposed to any takeover, cost-cutting, breakup profiteering by merchant bankers and private equity,'' said Doug Cameron, secretary of the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union in Sydney which represents 1,500 Qantas workers. ``There are too few Australian icon companies now.''
Qantas, which stands for Queensland and Northern Territory Aerial Services, started with two war-surplus 100 horsepower biplanes, serving the outback. Scheduled passenger flights started in 1922 and international services started in 1935, taking four days to fly from Brisbane to Singapore.
It now has a fleet of 213 planes flying more than 5,000 domestic and 700 international flights a week.
Qantas has dodged the worst of the airline industry's woes, reporting a profit every year since 1994, including record earnings in 2004 and 2005 as Chief Executive Officer Geoff Dixon, 66, cut jobs and started discount carrier Jetstar to fly less profitable routes and win new customers.
One Rival
Qantas enjoys a duopoly in the domestic aviation market, where discount carrier Virgin Blue Holdings Ltd. is the only competitor with a national network.
Dixon last month raised his fiscal 2007 profit forecast, saying earnings will rise this year, after falling 30 percent in 2006. Jet kerosene prices in Singapore have fallen to $73.80 a barrel, from a record $93 on Aug. 8.
Qantas ``is probably one of the best run airlines in the world,'' said Mark Daniels, who manages the equivalent of $2.7 billion at Aberdeen Asset Management in Sydney, including Qantas shares.
A bid would swell the record $162 billion of takeovers announced in Australia this year. Buyout offers for Australian companies have surged to $27.3 billion, from $1.4 billion in 2005, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Global aviation takeover offers have climbed to $21.2 billion this year, compared with $4.4 billion in 2005.
US Airways last week made an unsolicited $8.78 billion offer for bankrupt Delta Air Lines that would create the world's largest carrier. Last month, Ryanair made a hostile $1.9 billion offer for Ireland's Aer Lingus.
Qantas's BBB+ credit rating, the third-lowest investment grade, may be cut by Standard & Poor's, the ratings company said today, because a successful leveraged buyout might lead to a ``significant weakening'' in the company's credit quality.
In leveraged buyouts, firms put up a little of their own money and borrow the rest, piling debt onto the target company.