CHINA's Emergence as a new super power

karthikeyan.M

Karthi Keyan
peoples republic of chine turned 60 and is marching to be the super power of this century, post your views....................
 
peoples republic of chine turned 60 and is marching to be the super power of this century, post your views....................


Yes definately China is goin to soon emerge as an super economic power for the folowing reasons:

- China is developed and balanced industry than many developing countries, a result of China’s much faster growth rate in manufacturing than India’s since the 1950s.
- China’s very strong and effective state machinery has been an effective tool for mobilizing resources for modernization.

- The sheer size of China - a huge country with a population of 1.3 billion - greatly magnifies the advantages of effective state-led growth and sophisticated manufacturing. It produces the benefit of economy of scale. She builds huge EPZs out of nothing; now China houses two-thirds of the world’s total number of EPZs workers. This advantage helps China to build three basic manufacturing clusters, each with its own specialization. The first is the Pearl River Delta (including Hong Kong as the main channel for export), which specializes in labor intensive manufacturing, production of spare parts and their assembly. The second is the Yangtze River Delta, specializing in capital intensive industries: cars, semiconductors, mobile phones and notebooks, computers etc.

The third cluster is Zhongguan Cun, Bejing, the Chinese Silicon Valley. Here the state directly intervenes to make possible the collaboration of colleges, enterprises and state banks to develop the Chinese IT industry.



"The 19th century belonged to the British. The 20th century belonged to the United States. But the 21st century belongs to China,"

-- Jim Rogers, Hedge fund manager
 
Well China is emerging as a super economic power but will end up like Soviet Union for sure. There were many states in The Soviet Union which were demanding freedom. Mikhail Gorbachev became the president and gave those states freedom. We know what happened after that. China is facing same type of problems. There are six states demanding freedom from china.
Moreover, if we compare Soviet Union with Republic China... the former was more balanced economy, was better in warfare, was much sound technologically and had great leaders but it ended up in disaster.
According to me this Super-Power has a very short life.
 
Well China is emerging as a super economic power but will end up like Soviet Union for sure. There were many states in The Soviet Union which were demanding freedom. Mikhail Gorbachev became the president and gave those states freedom. We know what happened after that. China is facing same type of problems. There are six states demanding freedom from china.
Moreover, if we compare Soviet Union with Republic China... the former was more balanced economy, was better in warfare, was much sound technologically and had great leaders but it ended up in disaster.
According to me this Super-Power has a very short life.



Prominent Western analysts, both conservative and liberal, have pointed to the plethora of problems Moscow faces which appear to make Soviet decline inevitable: economic stagnation, lagging technical development, bureaucratic obstruction of needed economic reform, increasing ethnic tension within the USSR, the mounting economic and political problems of Eastern Europe.


But The decline of Soviet power could dramatically alter the international relations of the Far East also. Facing a much reduced Soviet threat, China might well feel less constrained from pursuing a more aggressive policy toward those states which relied most heavily on Moscow for military support - Vietnam, Mongolia, North Korea, and India. China, for example, might adopt a much tougher line with Vietnam if Chinese leaders calculated that Moscow could do little to harm Beijing or help Hanoi. Specifically, China might attempt to achieve predominant influence in Cambodia and Laos as well as threaten Vietnam directly if Hanoi persisted with policies Beijing objected to.

The Chinese might also see the decline of Soviet power as an opportunity to reassert Beijing's influence in Mongolia - which Moscow detached from a weakened China shortly after the Bolshevik revolution. In addition, the hard-line Beijing government might adopt a more supportive line toward North Korea if the Soviets were in less of a position to compete with China for influence there. China would probably also adopt a more aggressive policy regarding its border disputes with India if Beijing had less to fear from Moscow. China, of course, also has longstanding border disputes with the U S S R itself.


source: digilib.gmu.edu
 
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