Description
The jobs that pay the most require more education.
Business Leaders’ Insights:
How Higher Education Can Help
Michigan Become a Top Ten State
February 4, 2015
to be employed
than high school graduates
Four-year degree holders are
Jobs requiring an Associates+
as jobs requiring no college experience
70
%
Michigan jobs requiring an
education beyond high school by 2020
37
%
Michigan workers currently
with an education beyond high school
HIGHER ED
PAYS OFF:
Drives job & income growth.
are growing
2X
as fast
!
Michigan lags
in the production of degrees
& certificates in technical
skill areas
26
th
31
st
The jobs that pay the most
require more education.
Those with Bachelor degrees
and higher earn
than those with only a high
school diploma
Michigan ranks
in tech
skills
Potential new
jobs could be
created by
growing the
higher education
sector to Top
Ten status
in educational
attainment in the % of its
working age population with
an Associate’s degree+
Higher education has the
potential to boost state
GDP by
Michigan ranks
in
per capita
personal
income
36
th
Table of Contents
6 Higher Education in Michigan
7 Executive Summary
10 Full Report
12 Higher education access and affordability
22 Higher education outcomes
29 From education to employment
37 Economic impact
Business Leaders for Michigan
Business Leaders for Michigan (BLM), the state’s business roundtable, is dedicated to making Michigan
a Top Ten state for jobs, personal income and a healthy economy. The work of Business Leaders for
Michigan is guided by the Michigan Turnaround Plan, a holistic, fact-based strategy to achieve the
organization’s goals. The organization is composed exclusively of the chairpersons, chief executive
officers, or most senior executives of Michigan’s largest companies and universities. Our members drive
over 25 percent of the state’s economy, provide over 325,000 direct jobs in Michigan, generate over
$1 trillion in annual revenue and serve nearly half of all Michigan public university students.
Higher Education in Michigan
Michigan has 116 institutions of higher education—enrolling 660,000 students a year and
sharing an annual budget of $15.3 billion (Exhibit 1).
1
Michigan’s public higher education
institutions tend to be larger than average and the state is more reliant on public higher
education than other states (82 percent Michigan enrollment vs. 71 percent nationally).
2
Exhibit 1: Higher Education Institutions in MI—Larger, More Public
3
Breakdown of Higher Education Institution in Michigan by Type
Total Enrollment (Number of Institutions)
Michigan’s colleges and universities play a vital role in statewide talent development, R&D and
economic growth. As engines of learning and innovation, higher education is key to accelerating
the creation of more good paying jobs in Michigan.
About this report
This report explores the specific contributions made by Michigan’s higher education sector and
discusses the strong and growing need for quality postsecondary options. It builds on recent
recommendations for performance-based funding and provides a multi-pronged approach for
accelerating the pace toward Top Ten educational attainment.
This report also details how higher education can help create more jobs in Michigan. While not
addressed in this report, the success of Michigan’s higher education institutions is significantly
impacted by the readiness of students they receive from high schools. Michigan needs to
improve the college and career readiness of high school graduates and their transition to
college; however, addressing those issues should not delay acting on these recommendations.
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1 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).”FY11-12 Total Expenses for Public and Private Institutions.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics.
2 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2012 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
3 Ibid.
Executive Summary
This report outlines how higher education
4
can help
Michigan become a Top Ten state for jobs, incomes and a
healthy economy. Michigan is following national trends as
it diversifies toward a knowledge-based economy. This
change will require a more educated workforce to drive
income and employment growth at a personal level, and
economic growth for the state as a whole. Higher
education can play a critical role helping Michigan become
a Top Ten state by producing talent with the education and
skills needed to create better paying jobs and generate
greater economic impact.
• Michigan’s economy reflects the national shift toward
knowledge and service industries. While manufacturing
plays a larger role in Michigan than in the nation as a
whole (about 19 percent of Michigan’s GDP versus 12
percent for the U.S.), the economy has been
diversifying for decades to reflect the growth of
knowledge and service industries.
5
Even manufacturing
jobs increasingly require a higher level of technical skill
and expertise than during the previous generation.
• Employment projections through 2020 forecast
significant demand for STEM
6
and non-STEM as well as
well-educated and technically skilled workers.
7
• Seventy percent of Michigan jobs in 2020 will
require some level of education beyond high
school. Forty-four percent of forecasted jobs will
require at least a two-year degree, with three-
fourths of these requiring at least a four-year
education. Today, Michigan has 37 percent of the
working age population with this level of
education.
• There is nearly equal demand for STEM and non-STEM
educated workers to fill good jobs through 2020.
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4 Higher education, as used throughout this report, refers to all forms of postsecondary education,
including non-credential programs, less-than-two-year credentials, two-year degrees, four-year
degrees, and graduate and professional education.
5 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
6 Science, technology, engineering and mathematics.
7 Center on Education and the Workforce (June 2013). “Recovery: Job Growth and Education
Requirements Through 2020.” Washington, DC: Georgetown University.
70
%
37
%
Michigan workers
currently with an education
beyond high school
36
th
Michigan’s per
capita personal income rank
100
% higher
Average Michigan
wage difference between those with
a BA+ and high school graduates
70
% less
Average Michigan
unemployment rate difference
between four-year degree and
high school graduates
40,000
Potential new jobs that could be
created by growing the higher
education sector to Top Ten status
Four-year degree
holders are 70% more likely to be
employed than those with only a
high school diploma
• The jobs that pay the most—require more education.
The salaries of people in Michigan with bachelor’s
degrees or greater is, on average, over 100 percent
higher than those with just a high school education.
Moreover, this population is 70 percent more likely to
be employed.
8
• Public skepticism about the value of higher education is
rising. Fifty-seven percent of Americans questioned the
value of a college education
9
when 44 percent of recent
four-year degree graduates were working at a job that
didn’t actually require a four-year degree in 2012.
10
While concerns should lessen as the economy improves
and the demand for college graduates returns to pre-
recession levels, there will continue to be increased
demand for greater transparency on the return on
investment from a college education (Exhibit 2).
11
Exhibit 2: Six Sectors Report Double-Digit Growth in Hiring for Bachelor’s Degrees
2014-15 Hiring Demand for College Graduates
12
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8 U.S. Census Bureau (2015). “5-Year American Community Survey, 2009–2013.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau.
9 Taylor, P. et al (May 2011). “Is College Worth It? College Presidents, Public Assess Value, Quality and Mission of Higher Education.” Washington, D.C.:
Pew Research Center.
10 DeSilver, Drew. "5 Facts about Today’s College Graduates." Pew Research Center RSS. Pew Research Center, 30 May 2014. Web. 30 Jan. 2015.
11 Michigan State University, College Employment Research Institute, October 2014.
12 Ibid.
“For individual Americans, the
consequences of not completing
postsecondary education are
increasingly dire. For many years,
the main reason many people
went to college was to gain access
to better-paying jobs that allowed
them to earn more throughout
their lives. But earnings potential
is no longer the only driver. In
this economy, the issue is whether
you even have a job.”
— Lumina Foundation
2013–2016 Strategic Plan
-2
8
16
17
24 24
31
51
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Double-Digit Growth
S
• The consequence of not producing more educated talent is evidenced by the correlation
between Michigan’s relatively low education attainment and per capita income rankings.
13
Seven of the Top Ten states for personal income are also among the Top Ten for educational
attainment (Exhibit 3).
Exhibit 3: Educational Attainment Correlates to Higher Incomes
14
Per Capita Personal Income vs. Education Level
• Despite relatively strong retention of recent in-state college graduates, Michigan will need
to increase in- and out-of-state college enrollment to meet projected talent needs.
Michigan will have a smaller talent pool with approximately 100,000 fewer 18–24 year olds
by 2025 as the state’s population ages.
15
In addition, Michigan’s K–12 student enrollment
has dropped 11 percent over the last decade and is forecasted to continue declining.
16
• Rapid economic change and weak employment projections limit the ability to match supply
with demand. Major reasons for the difficulty in better aligning talent skills with
employment needs are limited mid- and long-term employment forecasting by the business
sector and a rapidly changing economy that is redefining jobs faster than ever before.
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13 U.S. Census Bureau (2015), Op. Cit. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
14 Ibid. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
15 “CGI - State Population Projections to 2030.” Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget, n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
16 Michigan House Fiscal Agency School Aid Background Brie?ng, Bethany Wicksall, Associate Director, Samuel Christensen, Fiscal Analyst, January 2015.
MI 37.41% (31st), $39,750 (36th)
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% 50.00% 55.00%
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25-64 yr. olds w/Associate's+
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MI 37.41% (31st), $39,750 (36th)
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45.00%
55.00% 50.00%
55.00%
• Michigan’s current production of educated and skilled talent lags Top Ten states, including
overall enrollment, out-of-state enrollment, degrees conferred, critical skills degrees and
certificates and educational attainment. Michigan ranks 26
th
in production of total degrees
and certificates in technical skills areas and ranks 31
st
in the percentage of its working age
population with an associate’s degree or higher.
17
• Higher education is a state asset with the potential to increase state GDP by up to $200
million and add an additional 40,000 new jobs by 2022.
18
Key Recommendations:
The overriding conclusion of this report is that Michigan needs to fully embrace higher education as
critical to getting and keeping good paying jobs and raising the state’s standard of living. Michigan
should demonstrate its commitment to becoming a Top Ten state for educated and skilled talent by
taking the following actions:
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17 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “Economic Competitiveness Benchmarking Report: Data Supporting the Michigan Turnaround Plan.” Detroit, MI:
Business Leaders for Michigan.
18 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “Growing a New Michigan: The 2014 Report on Michigan’s Progress in Growing Six Opportunities.” Detroit, MI:
Business Leaders for Michigan.
1. Bring higher education access and affordability to Top Ten levels.
• Set an explicit goal of becoming a Top Ten state for college affordability by
2020 and work toward that goal by:
— Increasing annual higher education appropriations
— Exploring other funding methods
— Allocating all new annual funding based on reaching performance
outcomes
• Hold down tuition by exploring new instructional delivery methods,
enhancing administrative efficiency and increasing cross-institutional
collaboration.
• Support a marketing campaign to grow enrollment.
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10
3. Strengthen the transition from education to employment.
• Develop regional workforce plans that match talent demand and supply.
• Work with colleges and universities and the business community to expand
internships, career counseling and credentialing.
• Track placement, job provider satisfaction and non-degree outcomes.
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4. Grow economic impact.
• Encourage higher education to play a greater role in economic development
by catalyzing the growth of distinctive assets and clusters of innovation and
aggressively attracting federal research projects and funding.
• Develop economic development centers of excellence that leverage each
institution’s greatest potential impact on the local economy and develop the
means to share best practices across institutions.
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2. Become a Top Ten state for higher education outcomes.
• Use performance-based funding to ensure institutions focus on and excel
at meeting their core missions.
• Increase the availability/use of:
— Sub-degree certificates
— Transferability of credits
— Dual credits
— College completions
• Support rigorous research on new education delivery methods and
aggressively implement proven, effective solutions.
• Form a new public-private partnership to accelerate collaboration across
institutions.
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Higher education
access and
affordability
Michigan needs to fully embrace the fact that the
value of postsecondary education is clear and
significant. As the U.S. economy increasingly
requires a knowledge-based workforce, the return
on an investment in higher education
(tuition/opportunity costs vs. future earnings and
career potential) continues to grow.
Research shows that Michigan needs significantly
more talent with postsecondary credentials and
two- and four-year degrees in STEM and non-
STEM fields. Meeting this need will require
building greater public support for the value of
higher education in the face of rising costs and
growing public skepticism.
Unfortunately, Michigan’s dependence on annual
appropriations from its state general fund to
support higher education puts the state at a
significant disadvantage in meeting future
workforce development needs. Rising spending
pressures—the result of decaying infrastructure
and social programs necessary to assist an aging
population—place greater limits on the state
budget every year. The value of higher education
in Michigan is demonstrable and should be fully
supported to achieve greater economic growth.
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1.
Key findings:
• The data are irrefutable that the more education people receive, the more they earn, work,
and live more healthful and satisfying lives.
19
While tuition increases have lowered the
return on investment compared with a generation ago, higher education remains one of the
best investments most people will ever make.
20
The net present value of a bachelor’s degree
in the U.S. is an estimated $320,000,
21
many times the cost of tuition and some 10 times the
average debt load held by U.S. students at graduation. In fact, the annual median earnings
of people with bachelor’s degrees is, on average, 70 percent higher than those with just a
high school education and they are 70 percent more likely to be employed (Exhibits 4 & 5).
Exhibit 4: Higher Education Linked to Lower Unemployment and Greater Earnings
22
Returns to Higher Education
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19 Baum, S.; Ma, J. & Payea, K. (2010). “Education Pays 2010: The Bene?ts of Higher Education for Individuals and Society.” New York, NY: The College Board Advocacy
and Policy Center.
20 In aggregate. Pew Research has determined that the return on investment depends on ?eld of study and school; not all combinations have a positive return.
21 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2011). “Education at a Glance, 2011.” Paris, France: OECD.
22 Bureau of Labor Statistics, current population survey.
Unemployment rate
in 2013, %
Median yearly earnings in
2013, $
Returns to a college degree
A bachelor’s degree
Increased median
earnings by 70% over
those with only a high
school education
Those with master’s
degrees and higher
earned more than
twice as much as
high school graduates
7.5
7.0
5.4
4.0
3.4
2.3
2.2
11.0
Less than
HS graduate
24,544
33,852
Some college 37,804
Associate’s
degree
40,404
Bachelor’s
degree
57,616
Master’s
degree
69,108
Professional
degree
89,128
Doctoral
degree
84,396
High school
graduate
Exhibit 5: College-Educated People Earn More, Regardless of Degree Type
Median Lifetime Earnings, by College Major ($Millions)
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Source: Major Decisions, Part 1; authors’ calculations from American Community Surveys, 2009-2012.
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
High School Graduate or GED
Some College, No Degree
Early Childhood Education
Family and Consumer Sciences
Theology and Religious Vocations
Fine and Studio Arts
Social Work
Elementary Education
Drama and Theater Arts
Associate's Degree
Music
Language and Drama Education
Art and Music Education
Art History and Criticism
General Education
Special Needs Education
Anthropology and Archeology
Social Science or History Teacher Education
Psychology
Commercial Art and Graphic Design
Linguistics and Foreign Languages
Physical and Health Education Teaching
Composition and Speech
Secondary Teacher Education
Liberal Arts
English Language and Literature
Math and Science Teacher Education
Philosophy and Religious Studies
Physical Fitness, Nutrition, and Sports Studies
Sociology
Botany, Ecology, and Zoology
Film, Video and Photographic Arts
Area, Ethnic, and Civilization Studies
Animal Sciences
Mass Media
Public Administration and Policy
Intercultural and International Studies
Hospitality Management
History
General Agriculture
Communication Technologies
Treatment Therapy Professions
Health and Medical Administration
Journalism
Communications
Environment and Natural Resources
Medical Technologies and Assistance
Advertising and Public Relations
Biology
Criminology and Criminal Justice
Geography
Multidisciplinary Science
Human Resources and Personnel Management
ALL MAJORS
Microbiology, Genetics, and Neuroscience
Agricultural Economics
Business Management and Administration
International Relations
Marketing and Marketing Research
Political Science and Government
Architecture
International Business and Business Economics
Chemistry
Earth and Other Physical Sciences
Nursing
Accounting and Actuarial Science
Mathematics and Statistics
Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Engineering Technologies
Production and Transportation Technologies
Biomedical and Environmental Engineering
Finance
Economics
Physics
Construction Services
Operations and Logistics
Computer Science
General Engineering
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
Civil Engineering
Mechanical Engineering
Electrical Engineering
Computer Engineering
Energy and Extraction Engineering
Aerospace Engineering
Chemical Engineering
In
0.0
ng i r e e n i g n E l a c i em h C
ng i r e e n i g n E e c a p s ro e A
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ng ri e e n i g n E r e t u p m o C
ng i r e e n i g n E l a c ri t ec l E
ng ri e e n i g En l a c i n a h ec M
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ng ri e e n i g En g n i r u t c a f u n a M d n a l a i r st u d In
ng ri e e n i g En l a r e n e G
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s c i t s i g o L d n a s n io t a r e p O
s ce i v r e S n io t c u r st n o C
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2.5
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s c i t s i t a t S d n a s c i t a m e h t a M
e c n e i c S l a ri a u t c A d n a g n i t n u o cc A
ng i s r u N
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s e i g nolo h c e T n o i t a c i n u mm o C
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S OR J AJ M L L
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n io t a c u d E r e h c a e T e c n e i c S d n a h t a M
e r u t a r e t i L d n a e g a u g n a L h s i l g n E
s t r A l a r e b i L
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k or W l a i c o S
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ng i h c a e T n o i t a c u d E h t l a e H d n a l a c i s y h P
s e g a u g n a L n g i e or F d n a s c i t s i u g n i L
n g i s e D c i h p a Gr d n a t r A
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s e c n e i c S r e m u s n o C d n a y il m a F
n o i t a c u d E d oo h d l i Ch y l r a E
e e r g e D No , e g e l l Co e m o S
D E G r o e t a u d a Gr l o o h c S h g i H
y it un m m o C n ca i r e Am m o fr s n o ti a lcul a c ’ s r o
2009-2012. , s y e v r u S y
• The wage difference is even greater in Michigan, where people with college degrees earn
over 100 percent more than people with just high school diplomas (Exhibit 6). This wage
premium is higher than in most (>90 percent) other states, signaling the importance of
higher education in Michigan.
23
Exhibit 6: Education Wage Premiums in Michigan
Michigan college degree holders earn more than twice as much HS degree holders,
and this gap is among the biggest nationally
• Michigan has experienced a greater shift from public to private support for higher
education than most states. While the state has made a significant reinvestment in higher
education over the past three years, over the long term there has been an inversion in the
roles of public vs. individual funding for public 4-year institutions (Exhibit 7). For 4-year and
2-year institutions, Michigan had the 5th greatest decline in state funding over the past five
years (Exhibit 8). While some public research universities have been able to offset a portion
of these budget cuts by raising private money, most public universities and community
colleges cannot.
B
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14
SOURCE: US Census Bureau, ACS survey 2010-12
1.70
1.75
1.81
1.83
1.86
1.90
1.94
2.01
US: 2.05
9th decile
8th decile
7th decile
6th decile
5th decile
4th decile
3rd decile
2nd decile
Top decile 2.09 MI: 2.15
Ratio of BA+ to HS wages, 2010-12
2.26
2.33
2.42
2.53
2.65
2.71
2.84
2.88
8th decile
US: 2.40
9th decile
4th decile
3rd decile
5th decile
7th decile
6th decile
2nd decile
Top decile 3.01 MI: 2.94
Ratio of HS to BA+ unemployment rates, 2010-12
Michigan median annual wages
BA or above: $54,390 (17
th
highest)
HS: $25,263 (44
th
highest)
Michigan unemployment rate
BA or above: 5.1%
HS: 15.2%
h
h
h
S
e
+ A B f o o i t Ra
e l ci e d op TTop
e l ci de 2nd
e l ci de d r 3
e l ci de h t 4
2
5
1 - 0 201 , es g a w S H o t +
1 . 2 : I M
H
1 0 . 2
4 9 . 1
0 9 1
9 0 . 2
f o o i t Ra
e l ci e d op TTop
e l ci de 2nd
e l ci de d r 3
e l ci de h t 4
a
4
r t n e m y o l p m e un + A B o t S H
9 . 2 : I M e
e
2
8 8 . 2
4 8 . 2
1 7 2
1 - 0 201 , es t a
1 0 . 3
e l ci de h t 4
e l ci de h t 5
e l ci de h t 6
e l ci de h t 7
cile de h t 8
cile de h t 9
0 9 . 1
6 8 . 1
3 8 . 1
1 8 . 1
5 7 . 1
0 7 . 1
e l ci de h t 6
e l ci de h t 7
e l ci de h t 5
e l ci de h t 4
cile de h t 9
cile de h t 8
1 7 . 2
5 6 . 2
3 5 . 2
2 4 . 2
3 3 . 2
6 2 . 2
Cen S U : E URC O S
S H
e v abo r o A B
m n a g i h c i M
2 1 - 0 201 y e v r u s S C A , eau r u B s u s Cen
st) e h ig h
h t
4 4 ( 63 2 , 25 $ : S
st) e h ig h
h t
7 1 ( 90 3 , $54 : e
s e g a wa l a nnu a n a i d e m
5 0 . 2 : S U
abo r o A B
n a g i h c i M
S U
% 2 . 15 : HS
% 1 . 5 : e v abo
e t a r t n e m y o l p m e un n
0 4 . 2 : S
23 U.S. Census Bureau (2015). “5-Year American Community Survey, 2009–2013.” Op. Cit. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Exhibit 7: Tuition Increases and Appropriation Decreases
24
Public University General Fund Revenue Source History
Exhibit 8: MI Has Seen the 5
th
Largest Decline in State Funding for Higher Education
Higher Education Funding Change by State 2009-14
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4
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5
F
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1
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8
6
F
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7
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1
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1
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8
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F
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1
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0
F
Y
1
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1
F
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1
9
9
2
F
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1
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3
F
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1
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4
F
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1
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5
F
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1
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6
F
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7
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8
F
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1
9
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9
F
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2
0
0
0
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2
0
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1
F
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2
0
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2
F
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2
0
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3
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2
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4
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2
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5
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0
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6
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3
F
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1
4
Other
State
Appropriations
Student Tuition
and Fees
H December 2014
North Dakota
Illinois
1
Alaska
Montana
Texas
California
Maryland
Wyoming
Indiana
Utah
Vermont
Nebraska
South Dakota
New York
Maine
Rhode Island
North Carolina
Tennessee
New Jersey
Colorado
Mississippi
West Virginia
Georgia
Oklahoma
Connecticut
Arkansas
Kansas
Florida
Delaware
Virginia
South Carolina
Kentucky
Massachusetts
Oregon
New Mexico
Minnesota
Alabama
Iowa
Idaho
Missouri
Washington
Wisconsin
Hawaii
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Michigan
New Hampshire
Nevada
Arizona
Louisiana
61.4
35.1
20.2
9.4
8.4
8.1
8.0
7.7
6.7
6.6
5.9
5.6
4.7
4.5
2.9
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.5
-2.9
-3.3
-3.4
-4.0
-4.3
-4.4
-6.7
-6.7
-7.7
-8.1
-8.2
-8.2
-8.6
-8.6
-8.9
-9.9
-10.0
-12.8
-13.2
-13.8
-14.4
-15.3
-18.2
-18.4
-21.3
-21.8
-24.4
-34.4
1 Includes rapidly increasing appropriations made to the State Universities Retirement System to address historical underfunding of pensions.
These do not go to individual institutions or agencies and are not for educational purposes.
SOURCE: Illinois State University Grapevine Fiscal Year 2013-14 Report
US: -1.2 US: -1.2
24 Jen, K. (2013). “Fiscal Focus: State Appropriations, Tuition, and Public University Operating Costs.” Lansing, MI: House Fiscal Agency.
• The result of budget cuts over the past decade is that Michigan now ranks 42
nd
for state
support for 2- and 4-year public institutions and has the 4
th
least affordable tuition levels
in the nation. Michigan would need to increase total state appropriations for public 2- and
4-year institutions by 50 percent to match Top Ten state level support and by over 100
percent to match Top Ten affordability based on tuition levels.
25
• Student debt in Michigan has increased by 48 percent in the past four years. While that is
below the national average of 54.6 percent, it still results in annual borrowing of $6,370 per
FTES
26
at public institutions. This results in total debt upon graduation of approximately
$30,000.
27
• Like most states. Michigan’s reliance on annual appropriations to fund public universities
makes it difficult to dramatically increase college access and affordability. States like
Michigan are increasing spending on social programs and transportation as the population
and infrastructure ages (Exhibit 9). What’s more, Michigan spends almost nine times more
per year to house a prisoner in its corrections system than it does to underwrite a student’s
college education (Exhibit 10).
Exhibit 9: Public University Appropriations Dropping in MI
Michigan Appropriations from State Sources 2000-2015
28
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12%
72%
16%
-26%
21%
-21%
-11%
12%
-35%
-15%
5%
25%
45%
65%
85%
Detroit CPI
29%
85%
65%
45%
29%
Detroit CPI
25%
5%
-15%
-35%
25 State Higher Education Executive Of?cers (2014). “State Higher Education Finance 2013.” Boulder, CO: SHEEO. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
26 Full Time Equivalent Student.
27 Baylor, E. (2014). “State Disinvestment in Higher Education Has Led to an Explosion of Student-Loan Debt.” Washington, DC: Center for American Progress.
28 Senate Fiscal Agency. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Exhibit 10: Funding for Public Universities vs. Corrections in MI
29
• The shift from public taxpayer funding to tuition (and the resulting increase in student
debt) is a major cause behind lower public confidence in the value of higher education.
Thirty-one states have cut funding for higher education.
30
This has accelerated a decade-
long shift from colleges being funded as a public to a private good. The result is that
average tuition has increased by approximately 40 percent in real terms over the last 10
years
31
and, along with easy access to student loans, has contributed to $1.2 trillion in
outstanding student debt.
32
In this context it is not surprising that 77 percent of Americans
do not think higher education is affordable for all of those who need or want it.
33
• Recent public skepticism, combined with Michigan’s historic ability to create good jobs for
those with only a high school education, can discourage young people from getting the
education they need. Further, these perceptions act as a barrier to attracting educated
talent to Michigan. BLM opinion surveys show that only recently have Michigan citizens
ranked higher education as an important funding priority. Further, Michigan ranked 50
th
in
2012 for attracting residents with at least a four-year degree.
34
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17
29 Ibid. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
30 Palmer, J. ed. (2014). “Grapevine Fiscal Year 2013-14 Report.” Normal, IL: Illinois State University. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
31 National Center for Education Statistics (2013). “Digest of Education Statistics, 2012.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Education.
32 Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Figures estimated as of May 2013.
33 Gallup & Lumina Foundation (2014). “What America Needs to Know About Higher Education Redesign.” Washington, DC: Gallup, Inc.
34 "CGI Migration Patterns by Level of Education: Michigan, 2000-2012." Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget, n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
— Example: Out-of-state enrollment in Michigan’s institutions of higher education is
significantly lower than most other states, especially Michigan’s neighbors. For example,
at four-year undergraduate institutions in Michigan, only 14 percent of students come
from out-of-state, compared with 29 percent in Minnesota, 26 percent in Wisconsin, and
34 percent in Illinois.
37
Further, the population of college-age students in Michigan is
expected to drop 10 percent over the next nine years.
38
Unchecked, this combination of
under-attracting educated talent and losing student population will put pressure on the
state’s institutions of higher education (e.g., enrollment and fiscal sustainability) and on
the state’s economy.
— Example: Enrollment and attainment at Michigan higher education institutions is below
average. Overall, 28 percent of Michiganders between the ages of 25 and 34 have a
bachelor’s degree or better, which is lower than the U.S. average of 31 percent. Further,
Michigan’s white young adults have an attainment rate of 36 percent versus only 24
percent of black adults in this age group. Unfortunately, this gap is not likely to close in the
near future, given current enrollment rates and various other issues including affordability.
• Tuition pricing and financing has become more complex for parents and students to
understand. This contributes to lower public confidence in higher education and
discourages higher rates of student enrollment and degree attainment. Easily navigable
data portals that explain the full cost of a college education and new financing methods
are needed to address this issue.
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35 U.S. Census Bureau (2011). “American Community Survey, 2008–2010.”; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Current Population Survey.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census
Bureau.; NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.” Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
36 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.” Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
37 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2010 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
38 U.S. Census Bureau (2000). “2005 Interim State Population Projections.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Potential strategies:
Fully embracing and supporting the value of higher education should be a readily addressable
goal for a state like Michigan, where there is overwhelming evidence of both the need for and
payoff from such an education. One approach to achieving a positive outcome is how the
“Pure Michigan” campaign raised awareness and positive support of Michigan as a destination
for tourism and business—securing $1.2 billion in visitor spending.
39
This sort of success might
be used to inspire ideas for growing in-state enrollment and attracting more out-of-state and
international students to Michigan.
Michigan might also consider the success that other states have seen in recruiting out-of-state
and international students. A fifth of the freshmen at the University of California (UC) in fall
2014 were non-residents, thanks to greater focus by admissions departments on non-resident
recruiting. This shift, according to UC admissions officers, will diversify perspectives on campus
and help subsidize costs for in-state students (e.g. , non-residents pay additional tuition of
$22,878 a year).
40
Other universities have similar plans. The University of Colorado-Boulder is
recruiting overseas for the first time, and the Universities of Alabama and Texas have stationed
recruiters far out of state.
41
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39 Michigan.org, 2014
40 Koseff, A. (August 2014). “University of California Steps Up Out-of-State Recruiting.” Sacramento, CA: Sacramento Bee.
41 Kingkade, T. (September 2012). “Public Universities Increase Out-Of-State Student Enrollments to Fill Budget Gaps.” New York, NY: The Huf?ngton Post.
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Bring higher education access and affordability to Top Ten levels
• Set an explicit goal of becoming a Top Ten state for college affordability by
2020 and work toward that goal by:
— Increasing annual public college and university appropriations
— Exploring other funding methods
— Allocating all new annual funding based on institutional performance
compared to national peers
In 2014, Michigan would have needed to provide an additional $800
million in state support to reach Top Ten funding levels and an additional
$1.8 billion to reach Top Ten states for lowest tuition levels (assuming a
dollar drop in tuition for every additional dollar in state support).
42
• Hold down tuition by exploring new delivery methods, becoming
administratively more efficient and increasing cross-institutional
collaboration.
• Explain tuition pricing more clearly and expand financial aid options to
ensure that students can afford a higher education regardless of financial
means. This might include institutions collaborating to develop a uniform,
interactive pricing section on their web sites; standardizing the “offer
letter” they send to students outlining the full cost of attendance over two
or four years; and developing repayment plans that fluctuate with future
earnings or payment plans that start before entering college and extend
through post-graduation.
The state, universities and colleges should:
• Support a marketing campaign to grow enrollment. The state and its higher
education institutions should collaborate to communicate the value of
earning a higher education degree to prospective in-state students and their
families, and promote Michigan as a college destination to grow out-of-state
and international enrollment to the national average of peer institutions.
• Continue to increase at-risk student enrollment and graduation rates.
Including Pell Grant enrollment in Michigan’s performance-based funding
system is a meaningful way of ensuring at-risk students are served.
Stronger marketing efforts and new financial aid and repayment programs
(described above) focused on at-risk students should also be encouraged.
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Recommendations:
42 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2010 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
Higher education outcomes
Stronger public support and funding alone will not fully leverage the potential
of higher education to achieve greater economic growth. Michigan should
encourage higher education institutions to fulfill distinct roles while discouraging them from
replicating programs and services that dilute focus and add cost. New delivery methods that
embrace best practices, more effective use of community colleges, and greater collaboration
across Michigan’s public and private colleges and universities will be necessary to realize the
power of higher education to accelerate growth.
For example, community colleges play an essential and increasingly important role in Michigan’s
higher education system. Community colleges give students an affordable and flexible
opportunity to earn a two-year associate’s degree and acquire vocational skills. Many students
use community colleges as a launching pad, transferring to another institution to complete their
higher education. Community colleges also serve the student populations that may have the
greatest needs—part-time students balancing education with a full-time job or full-time family
commitments and students requiring remedial support in math and reading to become college-
ready. Community colleges are also at the forefront of adult learning and skills retraining—both
vital to an economy like Michigan’s that has been buffeted by industrial transition over the last
few decades. Michigan’s community colleges play an essential role by providing an on-ramp to
postsecondary education and skills training to help people advance in their careers.
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2.
Key findings:
• Thirty states are using or transitioning to performance-based funding to improve higher
education outcomes.
43
Michigan has adopted one of the stronger performance-based
funding systems for universities because it is based on a national database and compares
institutions to their national peers. While a performance-based funding system is in place
for community colleges, the metrics are not currently compared to national peers. Michigan
bases about two percent of university funding and two percent of community college
funding on performance. Most states base between five and 25 percent of state funding on
performance. Further, while state support for student scholarships at private colleges has
been reduced, there are no outcome metrics used to account for these appropriations.
• Digital and distance learning methods are being used to improve student outcomes at a
lower cost, although the research demonstrating such results is as yet unclear. One-third of
higher education students across the country now take at least one course online and the
past few years have seen innovation in the form of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)
and derivatives (e.g. , Small Private Online Courses).
44
Similarly, a substantial amount of
distance learning is occurring at Michigan higher education institutions (18 percent of
students at Michigan four-year universities vs. 31 percent of students at Michigan two-year
colleges have enrolled in at least one online course).
45
But without greater rigor and
measurement, the potential to improve learning outcomes from using these learning
methods may not be reached.
• Students have more choices. The number of higher education institutions has grown by 19
percent in the last 10 years nationally, and Michigan has seen a growth of 17 percent with 17 new
institutions opening between 2004 and 2013.
46
Combined with the growth of digital learning
options, students have more choice in what, where and how they study than ever before.
• The distinction in roles between and among universities and colleges is becoming less clear.
While universities and colleges share common goals of educating talent and serving their
communities, each institution was designed to accomplish this work in different ways (e.g. ,
research-centric universities, education-centric regional universities and workforce-centric
community colleges). For many years, colleges and universities across the country have
been striving to be everything to everyone. But trying to excel at every aspect of teaching,
research, job training, and community integration is a recipe for being only moderately good
at each one. To be sustainable in the future, institutions should focus on meeting their
unique missions and strive to be leaders in their chosen areas of practice while having the
flexibility to adapt to changing conditions through partnerships.
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43 National Conference of State Legislatures (2015). “Performance-Based Funding for Higher Education.” Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
44 Allen, I.E. & Seaman, J. (2013). “Changing Course: Ten Years of Tracking Online Education in the United States.” Babson Park, MA: Babson Survey Research Group
and Quahog Research Group, LLC. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
45 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
46 Ibid.
• Michigan’s four-year institutions are more administratively efficient than those in other states.
For example, Michigan universities spent 30 percent less on administrative expenses
(institutional support) in 2013 and held the increase in these expenses nearly 50 percent
below universities in Michigan’s peer states from 2002 to 2013 (Exhibit 11).
47
However, even
greater administrative efficiency will be needed to increase student access and affordability.
Exhibit 11: Michigan University Administrative Expenses vs. Peer States
Comparison of Michigan's Administrative Expenditures Per Pupil with Peer States,
FY 2002-2013 (Real 2014 U.S. Dollars)
• Michigan’s four-year universities generally achieve student outcomes equal to or better
than their peer universities, but receive less in state support. Michigan’s four-year public
schools have a graduation rate of 60 percent overall vs. a national average of 55 percent
weighted for the size of the institution. Yet they receive less state funding than the national
average, receiving only $4700 per FTES
48
vs. an average of $7500.
49
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47 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”; Bureau of Labor Statistics (2015).
“Consumer Price Index.” Web. 31 Jan. 2105. Analysis by Anderson Economic Group.
48 Full Time Student Equivalent.
49 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
Michigan Peer State Average
Institutional Institutional
Expenditures per Pupil Expenditures per Pupil
FY
2002 1,860 2,303
2003 1,836 2,254
2004 1,697 2,226
2005 1,705 2,088
2006 1,808 2,094
2007 1,846 2,130
2008 2,003 2,550
2009 2,100 2,601
2010 2,010 2,537
2011 1,956 2,703
2012 1,953 2,457
2013 2,019 2,669
Change 159
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 366
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2002-2013
% Change 9% 16%
Note: Institutional support expenditures do not include operation and maintenance
of plant, depreciation, and interest.
Peer states include: California, Illinois, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia.
Source: AEG analysis of data sourced from the Integrated Postsecondary
Education Data System and Bureau of Labor Statistics - Consumer Price Index
• Michigan invests more in its two-year colleges than other states, but outcomes have been
weaker. Public funding for two-year schools in Michigan is higher than the national
average, with schools in Michigan receiving $6700 per FTES vs. $3600 nationally.
50
Yet
student outcomes do not appear as strong as other states. The total completion rate at
Michigan community colleges is 33 percent,
51
compared with the national average of 37
percent, ranking Michigan among the bottom 10 states on completion. Further, 4.7 percent
of students enrolled in a Michigan community college complete a four-year degree,
compared with the national average of 7.1 percent.
52
These national comparisons are
weaker than those for Michigan’s public four-year universities (Exhibit 12).
53
Community
colleges face several challenges that could be directly impacting these measures. Open
access means a broad range of students with diverse educational needs (including many
who are not college-ready) must be served—from adults trying to start a new career to
recent high school graduates getting ready for college or trying to secure their first jobs.
Exhibit 12: Completion Rates at Higher Education Institutions in Michigan
54
Tale of Three Worlds: In Graduation Rates, MI 4-year Public Colleges are in the Top 30%;
Public 2-year and Private 4-year are Lower Than Average in Aggregate
• Data that measure community college outcomes on non-credentialed learning (e.g., working
adults who take a course or two to modernize their skills or customized programs
developed with local employers) are weak. Broader efforts to understand and track all
types of academic and skill-building programs are important.
• Jobs requiring only an associate’s degree are expected to grow twice as fast as those
requiring no college experience.
55
Credentials tailored to the needs of specific careers are
in greater demand than ever, with more than one million certificates awarded in 2010.
56
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50 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).
Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
51 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. Web. 3 Mar.
2014. In 6 years, including certi?cates and transfer students.
52 Ibid.
53 Ibid.
54 Ibid.
55 Of?ce of Social Innovation and Civic
Participation (2009). “Investing in Education.”
Washington, D.C.: The White House.
56 Carnevale, A.; Rose, S. & Hanson, A. (2012).
“Certi?cates: Gateway to Gainful Employment
and College Degrees.” Washington, D.C.:
Georgetown University Center on Education
and the Workforce.
• While there is no evidence that state-mandated higher education governance systems
reduce costs or produce better outcomes, Michigan (the only state without a higher
education system or state policy collaboration entity) could realize meaningful outcomes
from greater collaboration. Michigan’s institutions of higher education have a long
tradition of independence that has let them define diverse missions and be innovative and
agile in how they fulfill their missions—without excessive state-level bureaucracy. This
autonomy has also provided a distinct advantage in recruiting administrators and
responding to market conditions.
57
Based on a review of states with large higher education
systems, we could also find no correlation with student outcomes or lower costs. But the
lack of a collaboration vehicle has also allowed two- and four-year institutions to expand
their missions (e.g. , two-year colleges offering four-year degrees, four-year regional colleges
expanding into high research fields, etc.) and failed to fully leverage potential cost savings
and qualitative improvements.
Potential strategies:
Greater transparency relative to higher education outcomes and the use of performance-based
metrics to determine public funding can build public trust. In addition, to continue meeting the
demands of students and the public, universities need to consider new delivery models for
education, new support systems for students, and new models for tuition arrangements. New
techniques to support students and ensure they receive the education they have paid for are also
necessary. For example, every incoming student at Miami Dade has an academic advisor who
mentors the student and watches for “risk triggers” (e.g., missed classes, course withdrawals). The
City Colleges of Chicago (CCC) revamped its schools through a “Reinvention” initiative—efforts
intended to increase student readiness for college, retention, completion, efficiency, and relevance
to the local community. The CCC has added remedial classes using smaller cohorts, increased
advisor-to-student ratios, created a comprehensive credential and transfer system, and is even
adding two new campuses. CCC is also using a data- and analytics-fueled effort to improve
student outcomes. Similarly, Georgia State has undertaken a targeted student success program
that pairs predictive analytics with on-the-ground peer and faculty advising.
Outcomes can be improved through increased collaboration among higher education institutions.
Collaboration between two-year and four-year schools can help create programs to ease the
transition and transferability between those schools, which will improve completion and student
success rates. Collaboration between educational institutions and private sector employers can
help meet the needs of the workforce of the state and ensure students are well prepared for a job.
Partnerships among higher education institutions in other states suggest additional possibilities.
Some universities have collaborated to centralize back-office functions and services that they
redirect to educational programs (e.g. , academic programs and financial aid). The University of
California’s “Working Smarter” collaboration, for example, includes initiatives ranging from
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57 Public Sector Consultants (2003). “Michigan’s Higher Education System: A Guide for State Policymakers,” Big Rapids, MI: Ferris State University.
strategic sourcing to shared back office services to captive insurance plans and is on track to
save the state $500 million. The effort includes standardizing procurement systems across all
10 campuses and co-locating and consolidating IT centers.
Michigan could realize greater results by building on some collaboration models already in
place —both operational collaborations to generate cost savings and educational collaborations
that improve learning outcomes.
58
Current operational collaborations include the Michigan
Universities Self-Insurance Corporation (M.U.S.I.C.) and Michigan Universities Coalition on
Health (MUCH). Educational collaborations include the Michigan Transfer Network (MTN), an
effort to establish a core transfer equivalency system, and the Academic Program Review (APR),
a cooperative review process for new or revised academic programs. The Michigan Community
College Association (MCCA) has established four centers of excellence—the Michigan Center for
Student Success, the Virtual Learning Collaborative, the Michigan New Jobs Training Program,
and the Michigan Center for Global Initiatives. In addition, a Michigan Transfer Agreement has
been established to streamline the transfer of the first 30 core units.
Recommendations:
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2. Become a Top Ten state for higher education outcomes.
• Continue to use performance-based funding to ensure institutions focus on
and excel at their core missions. Performance-based funding encourages
differentiation by focusing institutions on the core missions upon which they
were founded, without discouraging creative partnerships across institutions
that meet changing local needs. Examples include four-year programs that
begin at two-year colleges, partnerships that connect the research conducted
at research universities with educational programs at regional universities, etc.
• Support rigorous research on new education delivery methods and
aggressively implement proven, effective solutions. Creating a single center
of excellence within institutions and a statewide consortium to collaborate
across institutions would accelerate adoption of the most effective new
education delivery methods, such as competency-based learning, digital and
distance learning, predictive analysis and online remediation systems. The
cost of developing new educational delivery methods is prohibitive for many
institutions and can be better achieved through collaboration.
• Embrace performance-based state funding. Revenue limitations have reset
the role of states from “funders” to “major donors” of higher education.
Universities and colleges can ease this transition by embracing a commitment
to higher outcomes and accountability in exchange for greater support.
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58 Presidents Council, State Universities of Michigan (2011). “Collaborating for Success: Advancing Public Higher Education Through Cooperation.” Lansing, MI: PCSUM.
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• Develop more programs that offer sub-degree certificates. These “boot
camps” could help address specific needs that are relevant to the
workforce and the economy and would be much more cost-effective for
students seeking to improve their skills. Performance-based funding
metrics would need to be created to address this desired outcome.
• Increase transferability of credits. Stronger coordination between two- and
four-year colleges should increase the number of credits that are easily
transferred and provide stronger support systems to ensure transfer
students succeed at their new school.
• Increase adoption of dual credits. Courses offered for dual credit stem
from agreements between high schools, universities and community
colleges whereby a high school junior or senior enrolls in a college course
and simultaneously earns college credit and high school credit for the course.
• Incent college completion. Underperforming colleges and universities
should set goals for increasing degree completion and offer support
services, restructured course schedules, and modified financial aid
incentives based on an analysis of each campus’ experience.
The state, business community, and universities and colleges should:
• Expand the existing higher education performance tracker. BLM’s
Performance Tracker for Public Universities should be expanded to provide
simple, clear, and user-friendly data (e.g. , an online return-on-investment
calculator) that shows, for each institution of higher education (universities
and community colleges), the potential costs and benefits of different
educational choices. This will help parents and students better evaluate
whether they are getting value for money.
• Form a new public-private partnership to accelerate collaboration. The
voluntary formation of a council by business, higher education and the
state could accelerate collaboration while building on the advantages of
Michigan’s current governance structure.
— The mission should focus on benchmarking the competitiveness of
Michigan higher education, identifying strategies that will accelerate
achievement of state talent needs, maintaining databases that identify
institutional performance and student outcomes (e.g. the performance
tracker referenced above) and increasing cross-institutional collaboration
that improves outcomes. Collaboration initiatives should include
consolidating back-office operations, developing marketing programs to
increase student enrollment and coordinating programs to meet regional
workforce development needs.
— The partnership should be established as a non-profit organization,
remain independent of the political process, be professionally staffed
and have a distinguished board. The Governor, Business Leaders for
Michigan and higher education organizations could form this
partnership by appointing distinguished former and current business
executives, higher education presidents and state leaders.
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From Education to Employment
Higher education institutions must provide graduates with the education and
skills to get a good first job and have a successful career and life. While not the
sole purpose of higher education, the development of knowledge and skills that prepare
graduates for employment broaden their opportunity to lead successful lives. The likelihood of
successful employment after graduation remains an important factor for students and parents
in choosing which school to attend and what area to study. At the same time, a more educated
workforce contributes to a more productive state economy. Graduates of Michigan’s four-year
public universities earned $47 billion in salaries and wages in 2012. Their earnings represent
25 percent of the state’s total despite composing only about 15 percent of the population.
59
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3.
Key findings:
• The shift to a knowledge-based economy and Michigan’s resurgent economic growth has
created short- and long-term challenges of matching workforce supply with demand. Michigan
faces a short-term shortage of skilled workers (e.g. , workers with associate’s degrees or
other certificates) and a mid- to long-term shortage of workers with advanced degrees.
Michigan’s aging population will create a large number of job openings for workers with
less than a two-year degree in the next few years. But once those jobs are filled, Michigan
will find that most new jobs will be in fields that require at least a two-year degree.
— According to a Glengariff poll and a survey of BLM members, 28 percent of
small/medium and 73 percent of large businesses experienced difficulty filling
available above average wage jobs. While a majority of these jobs were in technically
oriented fields, such as engineering or information technology, a large number were
also in management, sales, marketing, and other fields.
60
— The largest number of projected job openings by 2020 will be in sales, office support
and blue-collar fields that mostly require workers with no more than a credential
mostly due to the need to replace retiring workers.
62
— The largest percentage of net new jobs that are projected to be created by 2020 are in
the health care and management fields, the vast majority of which require a minimum
of a two-year degree.
61
• Michigan is increasing its production of graduates with critical skills degrees and
certificates, but still falls below Top Ten and peer states. The number of critical skill
degrees awarded in Michigan since 2003 has risen 4.6 percent annually, but still fell six
percent lower than the Top Ten average annual increase in 2013. Michigan was also
outranked by most of its peers in terms of both the level and growth of critical skills
degrees and certificates awarded (Exhibit 13).
62
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59 PCSUM; US Bureau of Economic Analysis; US Census Bureau. Analysis by BLM..
60 Business Leaders for Michigan (2013). “Business Leaders’ Insights: Michigan’s Workforce Strengths and Challenges.” Op. Cit.
61 Carnevale, A.; Smith, N. & Strohl, J. (2013). “Recovery—Job Growth And Education Requirements Through 2020.” Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University
Center on Education and the Workforce.
62 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “2014 Economic Competitiveness Benchmarking Report: Data Supporting the Michigan Turnaround Plan.” Op. Cit.
Exhibit 13: Technical Education Degrees Per Capita
63
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Michigan Top Ten Economic Output States Peer States
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
100
90
80
70
60
50
0 0 1
0 8
0 9
0 7
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0 5
0 6
0 0 2
7 0 0 2 6 0 0 2 5 0 0 2 4 0
2 0 1 0 2 9 0 0 2 8 0 0 2
3 1 0 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 0 2
o c E n e T p o T
s e t a t S t u p t u O c i m o n o
s e t a t S r e e P
63 Ibid.
64 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Fall 2012, Completions Component.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics; U.S. Census
Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau.
Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan
65 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
66 Humanities includes degrees in area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies; English language and literature/letters; foreign languages, literatures, and linguistics; liberal arts
and sciences, general studies and humanities; multi/interdisciplinary studies; philosophy and religious studies; theology and religious vocations; and visual and performing arts.
Natural Sciences includes degrees in biological and biomedical sciences; physical sciences; science technologies/technicians; and mathematics and statistics. Engineering
includes engineering; engineering technologies/technicians; mechanic and repair technologies/technicians; and construction trades. Other ?elds includes agriculture, agricultural
operations, and related sciences; natural resources and conservation; architecture and related services; communication, journalism, and related programs; communications
technologies/technicians and support services; family and consumer services/human sciences; legal professions and studies; library science; military technologies and applied
sciences; parks, recreation, leisure, and ?tness studies; homeland security, law enforcement, and ?re?ghting; public administration and social service professions; transportation
and materials moving; and not classi?ed by ?eld of study.
67 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.” Op. Cit.
Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan. Analysis by BLM.
68 Carnevale, A.; Smith, N. & Strohl, J. (2013). Op. Cit.
69 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
• Michigan produces fewer four-year degree graduates than Top Ten states in most fields and
only exceeds the Top Ten average in engineering and computer science (Exhibit 14).
64
Exhibit 14: Four-Year Degree Production Per Capita
65 66
2012 Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100,000 Residents
• Michigan produces a comparable level of two-year degree and sub-baccalaureate certificate
talent in most fields to Top Ten states, but far more in health sciences and far fewer in
manufacturing and construction (Exhibits 15 & 16).
67
Michigan’s aging demographics will
create high demand to fill over 250,000 skilled trades and technical jobs by 2020—jobs that
often pay above average wages.
68
Exhibit 15: Two-Year Degree Production Per Capita
69
2010 Associate’s Degrees Awarded per 100,000 Residents
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Humanities Psychology Social sciences
and history
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related programs
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Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
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Business
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and design
Computer and
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Consumer
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Education Engineering,
architecture,
science
technology
Health sciences Manufacturing,
construction,
repair, and
transportation
Marketing Protective
services
Public, legal, and
social services
2
Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
Exhibit 16: Certificate Production Per Capita
70
2010 Sub-baccalaureate Certi?cates Awarded per 100,000 Residents
• Employer satisfaction with the degree and skill production of Michigan’s higher education
institutions differs. A majority of Michigan’s large businesses report being satisfied with the
degrees and skills of graduates of our public universities, according to a statewide
Glengariff poll and a survey of BLM members. But only half of large businesses are similarly
satisfied with the production of community colleges and one-third of Michigan’s
small/medium businesses report being dissatisfied with the production of both the state’s
community colleges and universities (Exhibit 17).
71
Exhibit 17: Michigan Business Satisfaction with Higher Education Graduates
72
Businesses Satisfied with MI Higher Education System’s Production of Degrees and Skills
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construction,
repair, and
transportation
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services
Public, legal, and
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2
Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
70 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
71 Business Leaders for Michigan (2013). “Business Leaders’ Insights: Michigan’s Workforce Strengths and Challenges.” Op. Cit.
72 Ibid.
62%
67%
49%
85%
0
10
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30
40
50
60
70
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90
Community Colleges Universities
B
Small/Medium Businesses
(< 500 employees)
Large Businesses
• The current difficulty in filling jobs appears to be due more to a lack of relevant experience
and skills than to a lack of proper education credentials.
— Ninety-three percent of large and 88 percent of small/medium businesses report that job
applicants meet the minimum education requirements for available jobs (Exhibit 18).
— More than half of all businesses report a lack of applicants with adequate experience or
skills for not being able to fill above average paying jobs (Exhibit 19). More than 90
percent of all businesses cite a job applicant’s skills and experience as being the most
important requirement for a job with their company. This is not to suggest that all
institutions of higher education should turn into vocational schools, but that these
institutions could do more to ensure that the skills and modes of thinking taught prepare
graduates to seek and hold employment. The result is that 31 percent of employers
nationally believe that recent graduates are not prepared for entry-level jobs, and many
call skills shortages a leading cause of entry-level vacancies.
73
Many students agree that
they are not adequately prepared, although education providers disagree (Exhibit 20).
Exhibit 18: Michigan Job Applicants Meeting Education Requirements
74
Percentage of Applicants Meeting Education Requirements
Exhibit 19: Michigan Job Applicants Meeting Skill Requirements
75
Percentage of Applicants Not Meeting Skill Requirements
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88%
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Small/Medium Businesses (
The jobs that pay the most require more education.
Business Leaders’ Insights:
How Higher Education Can Help
Michigan Become a Top Ten State
February 4, 2015
to be employed
than high school graduates
Four-year degree holders are
Jobs requiring an Associates+
as jobs requiring no college experience
70
%
Michigan jobs requiring an
education beyond high school by 2020
37
%
Michigan workers currently
with an education beyond high school
HIGHER ED
PAYS OFF:
Drives job & income growth.
are growing
2X
as fast
!
Michigan lags
in the production of degrees
& certificates in technical
skill areas
26
th
31
st
The jobs that pay the most
require more education.
Those with Bachelor degrees
and higher earn
than those with only a high
school diploma
Michigan ranks
in tech
skills
Potential new
jobs could be
created by
growing the
higher education
sector to Top
Ten status
in educational
attainment in the % of its
working age population with
an Associate’s degree+
Higher education has the
potential to boost state
GDP by
Michigan ranks
in
per capita
personal
income
36
th
Table of Contents
6 Higher Education in Michigan
7 Executive Summary
10 Full Report
12 Higher education access and affordability
22 Higher education outcomes
29 From education to employment
37 Economic impact
Business Leaders for Michigan
Business Leaders for Michigan (BLM), the state’s business roundtable, is dedicated to making Michigan
a Top Ten state for jobs, personal income and a healthy economy. The work of Business Leaders for
Michigan is guided by the Michigan Turnaround Plan, a holistic, fact-based strategy to achieve the
organization’s goals. The organization is composed exclusively of the chairpersons, chief executive
officers, or most senior executives of Michigan’s largest companies and universities. Our members drive
over 25 percent of the state’s economy, provide over 325,000 direct jobs in Michigan, generate over
$1 trillion in annual revenue and serve nearly half of all Michigan public university students.
Higher Education in Michigan
Michigan has 116 institutions of higher education—enrolling 660,000 students a year and
sharing an annual budget of $15.3 billion (Exhibit 1).
1
Michigan’s public higher education
institutions tend to be larger than average and the state is more reliant on public higher
education than other states (82 percent Michigan enrollment vs. 71 percent nationally).
2
Exhibit 1: Higher Education Institutions in MI—Larger, More Public
3
Breakdown of Higher Education Institution in Michigan by Type
Total Enrollment (Number of Institutions)
Michigan’s colleges and universities play a vital role in statewide talent development, R&D and
economic growth. As engines of learning and innovation, higher education is key to accelerating
the creation of more good paying jobs in Michigan.
About this report
This report explores the specific contributions made by Michigan’s higher education sector and
discusses the strong and growing need for quality postsecondary options. It builds on recent
recommendations for performance-based funding and provides a multi-pronged approach for
accelerating the pace toward Top Ten educational attainment.
This report also details how higher education can help create more jobs in Michigan. While not
addressed in this report, the success of Michigan’s higher education institutions is significantly
impacted by the readiness of students they receive from high schools. Michigan needs to
improve the college and career readiness of high school graduates and their transition to
college; however, addressing those issues should not delay acting on these recommendations.
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1 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).”FY11-12 Total Expenses for Public and Private Institutions.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics.
2 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2012 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
3 Ibid.
Executive Summary
This report outlines how higher education
4
can help
Michigan become a Top Ten state for jobs, incomes and a
healthy economy. Michigan is following national trends as
it diversifies toward a knowledge-based economy. This
change will require a more educated workforce to drive
income and employment growth at a personal level, and
economic growth for the state as a whole. Higher
education can play a critical role helping Michigan become
a Top Ten state by producing talent with the education and
skills needed to create better paying jobs and generate
greater economic impact.
• Michigan’s economy reflects the national shift toward
knowledge and service industries. While manufacturing
plays a larger role in Michigan than in the nation as a
whole (about 19 percent of Michigan’s GDP versus 12
percent for the U.S.), the economy has been
diversifying for decades to reflect the growth of
knowledge and service industries.
5
Even manufacturing
jobs increasingly require a higher level of technical skill
and expertise than during the previous generation.
• Employment projections through 2020 forecast
significant demand for STEM
6
and non-STEM as well as
well-educated and technically skilled workers.
7
• Seventy percent of Michigan jobs in 2020 will
require some level of education beyond high
school. Forty-four percent of forecasted jobs will
require at least a two-year degree, with three-
fourths of these requiring at least a four-year
education. Today, Michigan has 37 percent of the
working age population with this level of
education.
• There is nearly equal demand for STEM and non-STEM
educated workers to fill good jobs through 2020.
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4 Higher education, as used throughout this report, refers to all forms of postsecondary education,
including non-credential programs, less-than-two-year credentials, two-year degrees, four-year
degrees, and graduate and professional education.
5 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
6 Science, technology, engineering and mathematics.
7 Center on Education and the Workforce (June 2013). “Recovery: Job Growth and Education
Requirements Through 2020.” Washington, DC: Georgetown University.
70
%
37
%
Michigan workers
currently with an education
beyond high school
36
th
Michigan’s per
capita personal income rank
100
% higher
Average Michigan
wage difference between those with
a BA+ and high school graduates
70
% less
Average Michigan
unemployment rate difference
between four-year degree and
high school graduates
40,000
Potential new jobs that could be
created by growing the higher
education sector to Top Ten status
Four-year degree
holders are 70% more likely to be
employed than those with only a
high school diploma
• The jobs that pay the most—require more education.
The salaries of people in Michigan with bachelor’s
degrees or greater is, on average, over 100 percent
higher than those with just a high school education.
Moreover, this population is 70 percent more likely to
be employed.
8
• Public skepticism about the value of higher education is
rising. Fifty-seven percent of Americans questioned the
value of a college education
9
when 44 percent of recent
four-year degree graduates were working at a job that
didn’t actually require a four-year degree in 2012.
10
While concerns should lessen as the economy improves
and the demand for college graduates returns to pre-
recession levels, there will continue to be increased
demand for greater transparency on the return on
investment from a college education (Exhibit 2).
11
Exhibit 2: Six Sectors Report Double-Digit Growth in Hiring for Bachelor’s Degrees
2014-15 Hiring Demand for College Graduates
12
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8 U.S. Census Bureau (2015). “5-Year American Community Survey, 2009–2013.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau.
9 Taylor, P. et al (May 2011). “Is College Worth It? College Presidents, Public Assess Value, Quality and Mission of Higher Education.” Washington, D.C.:
Pew Research Center.
10 DeSilver, Drew. "5 Facts about Today’s College Graduates." Pew Research Center RSS. Pew Research Center, 30 May 2014. Web. 30 Jan. 2015.
11 Michigan State University, College Employment Research Institute, October 2014.
12 Ibid.
“For individual Americans, the
consequences of not completing
postsecondary education are
increasingly dire. For many years,
the main reason many people
went to college was to gain access
to better-paying jobs that allowed
them to earn more throughout
their lives. But earnings potential
is no longer the only driver. In
this economy, the issue is whether
you even have a job.”
— Lumina Foundation
2013–2016 Strategic Plan
-2
8
16
17
24 24
31
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S
• The consequence of not producing more educated talent is evidenced by the correlation
between Michigan’s relatively low education attainment and per capita income rankings.
13
Seven of the Top Ten states for personal income are also among the Top Ten for educational
attainment (Exhibit 3).
Exhibit 3: Educational Attainment Correlates to Higher Incomes
14
Per Capita Personal Income vs. Education Level
• Despite relatively strong retention of recent in-state college graduates, Michigan will need
to increase in- and out-of-state college enrollment to meet projected talent needs.
Michigan will have a smaller talent pool with approximately 100,000 fewer 18–24 year olds
by 2025 as the state’s population ages.
15
In addition, Michigan’s K–12 student enrollment
has dropped 11 percent over the last decade and is forecasted to continue declining.
16
• Rapid economic change and weak employment projections limit the ability to match supply
with demand. Major reasons for the difficulty in better aligning talent skills with
employment needs are limited mid- and long-term employment forecasting by the business
sector and a rapidly changing economy that is redefining jobs faster than ever before.
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13 U.S. Census Bureau (2015), Op. Cit. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
14 Ibid. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
15 “CGI - State Population Projections to 2030.” Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget, n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
16 Michigan House Fiscal Agency School Aid Background Brie?ng, Bethany Wicksall, Associate Director, Samuel Christensen, Fiscal Analyst, January 2015.
MI 37.41% (31st), $39,750 (36th)
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00% 45.00% 50.00% 55.00%
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25-64 yr. olds w/Associate's+
E
$65,000
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$60,000
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25.00%
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$40,000
$35,000
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35.00% 30.00%
MI 37.41% (31st), $39,750 (36th)
40.00% 35.00%
MI 37.41% (31st), $39,750 (36th)
45.00%
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55.00%
25.00%
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35.00% 30.00%
. olds w/Associate's+ r 25-64 y
40.00% 35.00%
45.00%
55.00% 50.00%
55.00%
• Michigan’s current production of educated and skilled talent lags Top Ten states, including
overall enrollment, out-of-state enrollment, degrees conferred, critical skills degrees and
certificates and educational attainment. Michigan ranks 26
th
in production of total degrees
and certificates in technical skills areas and ranks 31
st
in the percentage of its working age
population with an associate’s degree or higher.
17
• Higher education is a state asset with the potential to increase state GDP by up to $200
million and add an additional 40,000 new jobs by 2022.
18
Key Recommendations:
The overriding conclusion of this report is that Michigan needs to fully embrace higher education as
critical to getting and keeping good paying jobs and raising the state’s standard of living. Michigan
should demonstrate its commitment to becoming a Top Ten state for educated and skilled talent by
taking the following actions:
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9
17 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “Economic Competitiveness Benchmarking Report: Data Supporting the Michigan Turnaround Plan.” Detroit, MI:
Business Leaders for Michigan.
18 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “Growing a New Michigan: The 2014 Report on Michigan’s Progress in Growing Six Opportunities.” Detroit, MI:
Business Leaders for Michigan.
1. Bring higher education access and affordability to Top Ten levels.
• Set an explicit goal of becoming a Top Ten state for college affordability by
2020 and work toward that goal by:
— Increasing annual higher education appropriations
— Exploring other funding methods
— Allocating all new annual funding based on reaching performance
outcomes
• Hold down tuition by exploring new instructional delivery methods,
enhancing administrative efficiency and increasing cross-institutional
collaboration.
• Support a marketing campaign to grow enrollment.
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10
3. Strengthen the transition from education to employment.
• Develop regional workforce plans that match talent demand and supply.
• Work with colleges and universities and the business community to expand
internships, career counseling and credentialing.
• Track placement, job provider satisfaction and non-degree outcomes.
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4. Grow economic impact.
• Encourage higher education to play a greater role in economic development
by catalyzing the growth of distinctive assets and clusters of innovation and
aggressively attracting federal research projects and funding.
• Develop economic development centers of excellence that leverage each
institution’s greatest potential impact on the local economy and develop the
means to share best practices across institutions.
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2. Become a Top Ten state for higher education outcomes.
• Use performance-based funding to ensure institutions focus on and excel
at meeting their core missions.
• Increase the availability/use of:
— Sub-degree certificates
— Transferability of credits
— Dual credits
— College completions
• Support rigorous research on new education delivery methods and
aggressively implement proven, effective solutions.
• Form a new public-private partnership to accelerate collaboration across
institutions.
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s
Higher education
access and
affordability
Michigan needs to fully embrace the fact that the
value of postsecondary education is clear and
significant. As the U.S. economy increasingly
requires a knowledge-based workforce, the return
on an investment in higher education
(tuition/opportunity costs vs. future earnings and
career potential) continues to grow.
Research shows that Michigan needs significantly
more talent with postsecondary credentials and
two- and four-year degrees in STEM and non-
STEM fields. Meeting this need will require
building greater public support for the value of
higher education in the face of rising costs and
growing public skepticism.
Unfortunately, Michigan’s dependence on annual
appropriations from its state general fund to
support higher education puts the state at a
significant disadvantage in meeting future
workforce development needs. Rising spending
pressures—the result of decaying infrastructure
and social programs necessary to assist an aging
population—place greater limits on the state
budget every year. The value of higher education
in Michigan is demonstrable and should be fully
supported to achieve greater economic growth.
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11
1.
Key findings:
• The data are irrefutable that the more education people receive, the more they earn, work,
and live more healthful and satisfying lives.
19
While tuition increases have lowered the
return on investment compared with a generation ago, higher education remains one of the
best investments most people will ever make.
20
The net present value of a bachelor’s degree
in the U.S. is an estimated $320,000,
21
many times the cost of tuition and some 10 times the
average debt load held by U.S. students at graduation. In fact, the annual median earnings
of people with bachelor’s degrees is, on average, 70 percent higher than those with just a
high school education and they are 70 percent more likely to be employed (Exhibits 4 & 5).
Exhibit 4: Higher Education Linked to Lower Unemployment and Greater Earnings
22
Returns to Higher Education
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19 Baum, S.; Ma, J. & Payea, K. (2010). “Education Pays 2010: The Bene?ts of Higher Education for Individuals and Society.” New York, NY: The College Board Advocacy
and Policy Center.
20 In aggregate. Pew Research has determined that the return on investment depends on ?eld of study and school; not all combinations have a positive return.
21 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2011). “Education at a Glance, 2011.” Paris, France: OECD.
22 Bureau of Labor Statistics, current population survey.
Unemployment rate
in 2013, %
Median yearly earnings in
2013, $
Returns to a college degree
A bachelor’s degree
Increased median
earnings by 70% over
those with only a high
school education
Those with master’s
degrees and higher
earned more than
twice as much as
high school graduates
7.5
7.0
5.4
4.0
3.4
2.3
2.2
11.0
Less than
HS graduate
24,544
33,852
Some college 37,804
Associate’s
degree
40,404
Bachelor’s
degree
57,616
Master’s
degree
69,108
Professional
degree
89,128
Doctoral
degree
84,396
High school
graduate
Exhibit 5: College-Educated People Earn More, Regardless of Degree Type
Median Lifetime Earnings, by College Major ($Millions)
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Source: Major Decisions, Part 1; authors’ calculations from American Community Surveys, 2009-2012.
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
High School Graduate or GED
Some College, No Degree
Early Childhood Education
Family and Consumer Sciences
Theology and Religious Vocations
Fine and Studio Arts
Social Work
Elementary Education
Drama and Theater Arts
Associate's Degree
Music
Language and Drama Education
Art and Music Education
Art History and Criticism
General Education
Special Needs Education
Anthropology and Archeology
Social Science or History Teacher Education
Psychology
Commercial Art and Graphic Design
Linguistics and Foreign Languages
Physical and Health Education Teaching
Composition and Speech
Secondary Teacher Education
Liberal Arts
English Language and Literature
Math and Science Teacher Education
Philosophy and Religious Studies
Physical Fitness, Nutrition, and Sports Studies
Sociology
Botany, Ecology, and Zoology
Film, Video and Photographic Arts
Area, Ethnic, and Civilization Studies
Animal Sciences
Mass Media
Public Administration and Policy
Intercultural and International Studies
Hospitality Management
History
General Agriculture
Communication Technologies
Treatment Therapy Professions
Health and Medical Administration
Journalism
Communications
Environment and Natural Resources
Medical Technologies and Assistance
Advertising and Public Relations
Biology
Criminology and Criminal Justice
Geography
Multidisciplinary Science
Human Resources and Personnel Management
ALL MAJORS
Microbiology, Genetics, and Neuroscience
Agricultural Economics
Business Management and Administration
International Relations
Marketing and Marketing Research
Political Science and Government
Architecture
International Business and Business Economics
Chemistry
Earth and Other Physical Sciences
Nursing
Accounting and Actuarial Science
Mathematics and Statistics
Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Engineering Technologies
Production and Transportation Technologies
Biomedical and Environmental Engineering
Finance
Economics
Physics
Construction Services
Operations and Logistics
Computer Science
General Engineering
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
Civil Engineering
Mechanical Engineering
Electrical Engineering
Computer Engineering
Energy and Extraction Engineering
Aerospace Engineering
Chemical Engineering
In
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s e di u t S s u o i g i l e R d n a y h p o s ilo h P
n io t a c u d E r e h c a e T e c n e i c S d n a h t a M
e r u t a r e t i L d n a e g a u g n a L h s i l g n E
s t r A l a r e b i L
n o i t a c Edu r e h c a e T y r a d n o ec S
h c e e p S d n a n io t i s o p m o C
i h T i d E h l H d l i h P
y r o t s i H
nt e m e g a n a M y t i l a t i p s o H
s e di u t S l a n io t a n r e t n I d n a l a r u t l u c r e t In
y c i ol P d n a n io t a r t s i n i m Ad c i l b u
i c o S
P
l a i c r e mm o C
y g o l o h yc s P
n o i t a c Edu r e h c a e T y r o t s i H r o e c n e i c S l a
y g o l o e h c r A d n a y g lo o p o r h t n A
n o i t a c Edu s d ee N l a i c e p S
n o i t a c Edu l a r e n e G
m s i c i t i r C d n a y or t s i H t r A
n o i t a c Edu c i s u M d n a t r A
n io t a c u d E a m a Dr d n a e g a u g n a L
c i s u M
e e r g e D 's e t a i c o s s A
s t r A r e t a e h T d n a a m a r D
n o i t a c Edu y r a t n e m e l E
k or W l a i c o S
s t r A o i d u t S d n a e n i F
ng i h c a e T n o i t a c u d E h t l a e H d n a l a c i s y h P
s e g a u g n a L n g i e or F d n a s c i t s i u g n i L
n g i s e D c i h p a Gr d n a t r A
o h t u ; a 1 t r a PPa , s on i s i c e D rr D o j aaj MMa : e rc u So
ns io t a c o V s u o i g i l e R d n a y g olo e h T
s e c n e i c S r e m u s n o C d n a y il m a F
n o i t a c u d E d oo h d l i Ch y l r a E
e e r g e D No , e g e l l Co e m o S
D E G r o e t a u d a Gr l o o h c S h g i H
y it un m m o C n ca i r e Am m o fr s n o ti a lcul a c ’ s r o
2009-2012. , s y e v r u S y
• The wage difference is even greater in Michigan, where people with college degrees earn
over 100 percent more than people with just high school diplomas (Exhibit 6). This wage
premium is higher than in most (>90 percent) other states, signaling the importance of
higher education in Michigan.
23
Exhibit 6: Education Wage Premiums in Michigan
Michigan college degree holders earn more than twice as much HS degree holders,
and this gap is among the biggest nationally
• Michigan has experienced a greater shift from public to private support for higher
education than most states. While the state has made a significant reinvestment in higher
education over the past three years, over the long term there has been an inversion in the
roles of public vs. individual funding for public 4-year institutions (Exhibit 7). For 4-year and
2-year institutions, Michigan had the 5th greatest decline in state funding over the past five
years (Exhibit 8). While some public research universities have been able to offset a portion
of these budget cuts by raising private money, most public universities and community
colleges cannot.
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SOURCE: US Census Bureau, ACS survey 2010-12
1.70
1.75
1.81
1.83
1.86
1.90
1.94
2.01
US: 2.05
9th decile
8th decile
7th decile
6th decile
5th decile
4th decile
3rd decile
2nd decile
Top decile 2.09 MI: 2.15
Ratio of BA+ to HS wages, 2010-12
2.26
2.33
2.42
2.53
2.65
2.71
2.84
2.88
8th decile
US: 2.40
9th decile
4th decile
3rd decile
5th decile
7th decile
6th decile
2nd decile
Top decile 3.01 MI: 2.94
Ratio of HS to BA+ unemployment rates, 2010-12
Michigan median annual wages
BA or above: $54,390 (17
th
highest)
HS: $25,263 (44
th
highest)
Michigan unemployment rate
BA or above: 5.1%
HS: 15.2%
h
h
h
S
e
+ A B f o o i t Ra
e l ci e d op TTop
e l ci de 2nd
e l ci de d r 3
e l ci de h t 4
2
5
1 - 0 201 , es g a w S H o t +
1 . 2 : I M
H
1 0 . 2
4 9 . 1
0 9 1
9 0 . 2
f o o i t Ra
e l ci e d op TTop
e l ci de 2nd
e l ci de d r 3
e l ci de h t 4
a
4
r t n e m y o l p m e un + A B o t S H
9 . 2 : I M e
e
2
8 8 . 2
4 8 . 2
1 7 2
1 - 0 201 , es t a
1 0 . 3
e l ci de h t 4
e l ci de h t 5
e l ci de h t 6
e l ci de h t 7
cile de h t 8
cile de h t 9
0 9 . 1
6 8 . 1
3 8 . 1
1 8 . 1
5 7 . 1
0 7 . 1
e l ci de h t 6
e l ci de h t 7
e l ci de h t 5
e l ci de h t 4
cile de h t 9
cile de h t 8
1 7 . 2
5 6 . 2
3 5 . 2
2 4 . 2
3 3 . 2
6 2 . 2
Cen S U : E URC O S
S H
e v abo r o A B
m n a g i h c i M
2 1 - 0 201 y e v r u s S C A , eau r u B s u s Cen
st) e h ig h
h t
4 4 ( 63 2 , 25 $ : S
st) e h ig h
h t
7 1 ( 90 3 , $54 : e
s e g a wa l a nnu a n a i d e m
5 0 . 2 : S U
abo r o A B
n a g i h c i M
S U
% 2 . 15 : HS
% 1 . 5 : e v abo
e t a r t n e m y o l p m e un n
0 4 . 2 : S
23 U.S. Census Bureau (2015). “5-Year American Community Survey, 2009–2013.” Op. Cit. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Exhibit 7: Tuition Increases and Appropriation Decreases
24
Public University General Fund Revenue Source History
Exhibit 8: MI Has Seen the 5
th
Largest Decline in State Funding for Higher Education
Higher Education Funding Change by State 2009-14
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4
Other
State
Appropriations
Student Tuition
and Fees
H December 2014
North Dakota
Illinois
1
Alaska
Montana
Texas
California
Maryland
Wyoming
Indiana
Utah
Vermont
Nebraska
South Dakota
New York
Maine
Rhode Island
North Carolina
Tennessee
New Jersey
Colorado
Mississippi
West Virginia
Georgia
Oklahoma
Connecticut
Arkansas
Kansas
Florida
Delaware
Virginia
South Carolina
Kentucky
Massachusetts
Oregon
New Mexico
Minnesota
Alabama
Iowa
Idaho
Missouri
Washington
Wisconsin
Hawaii
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Michigan
New Hampshire
Nevada
Arizona
Louisiana
61.4
35.1
20.2
9.4
8.4
8.1
8.0
7.7
6.7
6.6
5.9
5.6
4.7
4.5
2.9
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.5
-2.9
-3.3
-3.4
-4.0
-4.3
-4.4
-6.7
-6.7
-7.7
-8.1
-8.2
-8.2
-8.6
-8.6
-8.9
-9.9
-10.0
-12.8
-13.2
-13.8
-14.4
-15.3
-18.2
-18.4
-21.3
-21.8
-24.4
-34.4
1 Includes rapidly increasing appropriations made to the State Universities Retirement System to address historical underfunding of pensions.
These do not go to individual institutions or agencies and are not for educational purposes.
SOURCE: Illinois State University Grapevine Fiscal Year 2013-14 Report
US: -1.2 US: -1.2
24 Jen, K. (2013). “Fiscal Focus: State Appropriations, Tuition, and Public University Operating Costs.” Lansing, MI: House Fiscal Agency.
• The result of budget cuts over the past decade is that Michigan now ranks 42
nd
for state
support for 2- and 4-year public institutions and has the 4
th
least affordable tuition levels
in the nation. Michigan would need to increase total state appropriations for public 2- and
4-year institutions by 50 percent to match Top Ten state level support and by over 100
percent to match Top Ten affordability based on tuition levels.
25
• Student debt in Michigan has increased by 48 percent in the past four years. While that is
below the national average of 54.6 percent, it still results in annual borrowing of $6,370 per
FTES
26
at public institutions. This results in total debt upon graduation of approximately
$30,000.
27
• Like most states. Michigan’s reliance on annual appropriations to fund public universities
makes it difficult to dramatically increase college access and affordability. States like
Michigan are increasing spending on social programs and transportation as the population
and infrastructure ages (Exhibit 9). What’s more, Michigan spends almost nine times more
per year to house a prisoner in its corrections system than it does to underwrite a student’s
college education (Exhibit 10).
Exhibit 9: Public University Appropriations Dropping in MI
Michigan Appropriations from State Sources 2000-2015
28
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12%
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16%
-26%
21%
-21%
-11%
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-35%
-15%
5%
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45%
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45%
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Detroit CPI
25%
5%
-15%
-35%
25 State Higher Education Executive Of?cers (2014). “State Higher Education Finance 2013.” Boulder, CO: SHEEO. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
26 Full Time Equivalent Student.
27 Baylor, E. (2014). “State Disinvestment in Higher Education Has Led to an Explosion of Student-Loan Debt.” Washington, DC: Center for American Progress.
28 Senate Fiscal Agency. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Exhibit 10: Funding for Public Universities vs. Corrections in MI
29
• The shift from public taxpayer funding to tuition (and the resulting increase in student
debt) is a major cause behind lower public confidence in the value of higher education.
Thirty-one states have cut funding for higher education.
30
This has accelerated a decade-
long shift from colleges being funded as a public to a private good. The result is that
average tuition has increased by approximately 40 percent in real terms over the last 10
years
31
and, along with easy access to student loans, has contributed to $1.2 trillion in
outstanding student debt.
32
In this context it is not surprising that 77 percent of Americans
do not think higher education is affordable for all of those who need or want it.
33
• Recent public skepticism, combined with Michigan’s historic ability to create good jobs for
those with only a high school education, can discourage young people from getting the
education they need. Further, these perceptions act as a barrier to attracting educated
talent to Michigan. BLM opinion surveys show that only recently have Michigan citizens
ranked higher education as an important funding priority. Further, Michigan ranked 50
th
in
2012 for attracting residents with at least a four-year degree.
34
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29 Ibid. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
30 Palmer, J. ed. (2014). “Grapevine Fiscal Year 2013-14 Report.” Normal, IL: Illinois State University. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
31 National Center for Education Statistics (2013). “Digest of Education Statistics, 2012.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Education.
32 Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Figures estimated as of May 2013.
33 Gallup & Lumina Foundation (2014). “What America Needs to Know About Higher Education Redesign.” Washington, DC: Gallup, Inc.
34 "CGI Migration Patterns by Level of Education: Michigan, 2000-2012." Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget, n.d. Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
— Example: Out-of-state enrollment in Michigan’s institutions of higher education is
significantly lower than most other states, especially Michigan’s neighbors. For example,
at four-year undergraduate institutions in Michigan, only 14 percent of students come
from out-of-state, compared with 29 percent in Minnesota, 26 percent in Wisconsin, and
34 percent in Illinois.
37
Further, the population of college-age students in Michigan is
expected to drop 10 percent over the next nine years.
38
Unchecked, this combination of
under-attracting educated talent and losing student population will put pressure on the
state’s institutions of higher education (e.g., enrollment and fiscal sustainability) and on
the state’s economy.
— Example: Enrollment and attainment at Michigan higher education institutions is below
average. Overall, 28 percent of Michiganders between the ages of 25 and 34 have a
bachelor’s degree or better, which is lower than the U.S. average of 31 percent. Further,
Michigan’s white young adults have an attainment rate of 36 percent versus only 24
percent of black adults in this age group. Unfortunately, this gap is not likely to close in the
near future, given current enrollment rates and various other issues including affordability.
• Tuition pricing and financing has become more complex for parents and students to
understand. This contributes to lower public confidence in higher education and
discourages higher rates of student enrollment and degree attainment. Easily navigable
data portals that explain the full cost of a college education and new financing methods
are needed to address this issue.
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35 U.S. Census Bureau (2011). “American Community Survey, 2008–2010.”; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Current Population Survey.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census
Bureau.; NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.” Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
36 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.” Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
37 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2010 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
38 U.S. Census Bureau (2000). “2005 Interim State Population Projections.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
Potential strategies:
Fully embracing and supporting the value of higher education should be a readily addressable
goal for a state like Michigan, where there is overwhelming evidence of both the need for and
payoff from such an education. One approach to achieving a positive outcome is how the
“Pure Michigan” campaign raised awareness and positive support of Michigan as a destination
for tourism and business—securing $1.2 billion in visitor spending.
39
This sort of success might
be used to inspire ideas for growing in-state enrollment and attracting more out-of-state and
international students to Michigan.
Michigan might also consider the success that other states have seen in recruiting out-of-state
and international students. A fifth of the freshmen at the University of California (UC) in fall
2014 were non-residents, thanks to greater focus by admissions departments on non-resident
recruiting. This shift, according to UC admissions officers, will diversify perspectives on campus
and help subsidize costs for in-state students (e.g. , non-residents pay additional tuition of
$22,878 a year).
40
Other universities have similar plans. The University of Colorado-Boulder is
recruiting overseas for the first time, and the Universities of Alabama and Texas have stationed
recruiters far out of state.
41
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39 Michigan.org, 2014
40 Koseff, A. (August 2014). “University of California Steps Up Out-of-State Recruiting.” Sacramento, CA: Sacramento Bee.
41 Kingkade, T. (September 2012). “Public Universities Increase Out-Of-State Student Enrollments to Fill Budget Gaps.” New York, NY: The Huf?ngton Post.
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Bring higher education access and affordability to Top Ten levels
• Set an explicit goal of becoming a Top Ten state for college affordability by
2020 and work toward that goal by:
— Increasing annual public college and university appropriations
— Exploring other funding methods
— Allocating all new annual funding based on institutional performance
compared to national peers
In 2014, Michigan would have needed to provide an additional $800
million in state support to reach Top Ten funding levels and an additional
$1.8 billion to reach Top Ten states for lowest tuition levels (assuming a
dollar drop in tuition for every additional dollar in state support).
42
• Hold down tuition by exploring new delivery methods, becoming
administratively more efficient and increasing cross-institutional
collaboration.
• Explain tuition pricing more clearly and expand financial aid options to
ensure that students can afford a higher education regardless of financial
means. This might include institutions collaborating to develop a uniform,
interactive pricing section on their web sites; standardizing the “offer
letter” they send to students outlining the full cost of attendance over two
or four years; and developing repayment plans that fluctuate with future
earnings or payment plans that start before entering college and extend
through post-graduation.
The state, universities and colleges should:
• Support a marketing campaign to grow enrollment. The state and its higher
education institutions should collaborate to communicate the value of
earning a higher education degree to prospective in-state students and their
families, and promote Michigan as a college destination to grow out-of-state
and international enrollment to the national average of peer institutions.
• Continue to increase at-risk student enrollment and graduation rates.
Including Pell Grant enrollment in Michigan’s performance-based funding
system is a meaningful way of ensuring at-risk students are served.
Stronger marketing efforts and new financial aid and repayment programs
(described above) focused on at-risk students should also be encouraged.
C
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Recommendations:
42 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “2010 Data.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics.
Higher education outcomes
Stronger public support and funding alone will not fully leverage the potential
of higher education to achieve greater economic growth. Michigan should
encourage higher education institutions to fulfill distinct roles while discouraging them from
replicating programs and services that dilute focus and add cost. New delivery methods that
embrace best practices, more effective use of community colleges, and greater collaboration
across Michigan’s public and private colleges and universities will be necessary to realize the
power of higher education to accelerate growth.
For example, community colleges play an essential and increasingly important role in Michigan’s
higher education system. Community colleges give students an affordable and flexible
opportunity to earn a two-year associate’s degree and acquire vocational skills. Many students
use community colleges as a launching pad, transferring to another institution to complete their
higher education. Community colleges also serve the student populations that may have the
greatest needs—part-time students balancing education with a full-time job or full-time family
commitments and students requiring remedial support in math and reading to become college-
ready. Community colleges are also at the forefront of adult learning and skills retraining—both
vital to an economy like Michigan’s that has been buffeted by industrial transition over the last
few decades. Michigan’s community colleges play an essential role by providing an on-ramp to
postsecondary education and skills training to help people advance in their careers.
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2.
Key findings:
• Thirty states are using or transitioning to performance-based funding to improve higher
education outcomes.
43
Michigan has adopted one of the stronger performance-based
funding systems for universities because it is based on a national database and compares
institutions to their national peers. While a performance-based funding system is in place
for community colleges, the metrics are not currently compared to national peers. Michigan
bases about two percent of university funding and two percent of community college
funding on performance. Most states base between five and 25 percent of state funding on
performance. Further, while state support for student scholarships at private colleges has
been reduced, there are no outcome metrics used to account for these appropriations.
• Digital and distance learning methods are being used to improve student outcomes at a
lower cost, although the research demonstrating such results is as yet unclear. One-third of
higher education students across the country now take at least one course online and the
past few years have seen innovation in the form of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)
and derivatives (e.g. , Small Private Online Courses).
44
Similarly, a substantial amount of
distance learning is occurring at Michigan higher education institutions (18 percent of
students at Michigan four-year universities vs. 31 percent of students at Michigan two-year
colleges have enrolled in at least one online course).
45
But without greater rigor and
measurement, the potential to improve learning outcomes from using these learning
methods may not be reached.
• Students have more choices. The number of higher education institutions has grown by 19
percent in the last 10 years nationally, and Michigan has seen a growth of 17 percent with 17 new
institutions opening between 2004 and 2013.
46
Combined with the growth of digital learning
options, students have more choice in what, where and how they study than ever before.
• The distinction in roles between and among universities and colleges is becoming less clear.
While universities and colleges share common goals of educating talent and serving their
communities, each institution was designed to accomplish this work in different ways (e.g. ,
research-centric universities, education-centric regional universities and workforce-centric
community colleges). For many years, colleges and universities across the country have
been striving to be everything to everyone. But trying to excel at every aspect of teaching,
research, job training, and community integration is a recipe for being only moderately good
at each one. To be sustainable in the future, institutions should focus on meeting their
unique missions and strive to be leaders in their chosen areas of practice while having the
flexibility to adapt to changing conditions through partnerships.
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43 National Conference of State Legislatures (2015). “Performance-Based Funding for Higher Education.” Web. 31 Jan. 2015.
44 Allen, I.E. & Seaman, J. (2013). “Changing Course: Ten Years of Tracking Online Education in the United States.” Babson Park, MA: Babson Survey Research Group
and Quahog Research Group, LLC. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
45 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
46 Ibid.
• Michigan’s four-year institutions are more administratively efficient than those in other states.
For example, Michigan universities spent 30 percent less on administrative expenses
(institutional support) in 2013 and held the increase in these expenses nearly 50 percent
below universities in Michigan’s peer states from 2002 to 2013 (Exhibit 11).
47
However, even
greater administrative efficiency will be needed to increase student access and affordability.
Exhibit 11: Michigan University Administrative Expenses vs. Peer States
Comparison of Michigan's Administrative Expenditures Per Pupil with Peer States,
FY 2002-2013 (Real 2014 U.S. Dollars)
• Michigan’s four-year universities generally achieve student outcomes equal to or better
than their peer universities, but receive less in state support. Michigan’s four-year public
schools have a graduation rate of 60 percent overall vs. a national average of 55 percent
weighted for the size of the institution. Yet they receive less state funding than the national
average, receiving only $4700 per FTES
48
vs. an average of $7500.
49
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47 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”; Bureau of Labor Statistics (2015).
“Consumer Price Index.” Web. 31 Jan. 2105. Analysis by Anderson Economic Group.
48 Full Time Student Equivalent.
49 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
Michigan Peer State Average
Institutional Institutional
Expenditures per Pupil Expenditures per Pupil
FY
2002 1,860 2,303
2003 1,836 2,254
2004 1,697 2,226
2005 1,705 2,088
2006 1,808 2,094
2007 1,846 2,130
2008 2,003 2,550
2009 2,100 2,601
2010 2,010 2,537
2011 1,956 2,703
2012 1,953 2,457
2013 2,019 2,669
Change 159
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 366
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2002-2013
% Change 9% 16%
Note: Institutional support expenditures do not include operation and maintenance
of plant, depreciation, and interest.
Peer states include: California, Illinois, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia.
Source: AEG analysis of data sourced from the Integrated Postsecondary
Education Data System and Bureau of Labor Statistics - Consumer Price Index
• Michigan invests more in its two-year colleges than other states, but outcomes have been
weaker. Public funding for two-year schools in Michigan is higher than the national
average, with schools in Michigan receiving $6700 per FTES vs. $3600 nationally.
50
Yet
student outcomes do not appear as strong as other states. The total completion rate at
Michigan community colleges is 33 percent,
51
compared with the national average of 37
percent, ranking Michigan among the bottom 10 states on completion. Further, 4.7 percent
of students enrolled in a Michigan community college complete a four-year degree,
compared with the national average of 7.1 percent.
52
These national comparisons are
weaker than those for Michigan’s public four-year universities (Exhibit 12).
53
Community
colleges face several challenges that could be directly impacting these measures. Open
access means a broad range of students with diverse educational needs (including many
who are not college-ready) must be served—from adults trying to start a new career to
recent high school graduates getting ready for college or trying to secure their first jobs.
Exhibit 12: Completion Rates at Higher Education Institutions in Michigan
54
Tale of Three Worlds: In Graduation Rates, MI 4-year Public Colleges are in the Top 30%;
Public 2-year and Private 4-year are Lower Than Average in Aggregate
• Data that measure community college outcomes on non-credentialed learning (e.g., working
adults who take a course or two to modernize their skills or customized programs
developed with local employers) are weak. Broader efforts to understand and track all
types of academic and skill-building programs are important.
• Jobs requiring only an associate’s degree are expected to grow twice as fast as those
requiring no college experience.
55
Credentials tailored to the needs of specific careers are
in greater demand than ever, with more than one million certificates awarded in 2010.
56
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50 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS).
Op. Cit. “2012 Data.”
51 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. Web. 3 Mar.
2014. In 6 years, including certi?cates and transfer students.
52 Ibid.
53 Ibid.
54 Ibid.
55 Of?ce of Social Innovation and Civic
Participation (2009). “Investing in Education.”
Washington, D.C.: The White House.
56 Carnevale, A.; Rose, S. & Hanson, A. (2012).
“Certi?cates: Gateway to Gainful Employment
and College Degrees.” Washington, D.C.:
Georgetown University Center on Education
and the Workforce.
• While there is no evidence that state-mandated higher education governance systems
reduce costs or produce better outcomes, Michigan (the only state without a higher
education system or state policy collaboration entity) could realize meaningful outcomes
from greater collaboration. Michigan’s institutions of higher education have a long
tradition of independence that has let them define diverse missions and be innovative and
agile in how they fulfill their missions—without excessive state-level bureaucracy. This
autonomy has also provided a distinct advantage in recruiting administrators and
responding to market conditions.
57
Based on a review of states with large higher education
systems, we could also find no correlation with student outcomes or lower costs. But the
lack of a collaboration vehicle has also allowed two- and four-year institutions to expand
their missions (e.g. , two-year colleges offering four-year degrees, four-year regional colleges
expanding into high research fields, etc.) and failed to fully leverage potential cost savings
and qualitative improvements.
Potential strategies:
Greater transparency relative to higher education outcomes and the use of performance-based
metrics to determine public funding can build public trust. In addition, to continue meeting the
demands of students and the public, universities need to consider new delivery models for
education, new support systems for students, and new models for tuition arrangements. New
techniques to support students and ensure they receive the education they have paid for are also
necessary. For example, every incoming student at Miami Dade has an academic advisor who
mentors the student and watches for “risk triggers” (e.g., missed classes, course withdrawals). The
City Colleges of Chicago (CCC) revamped its schools through a “Reinvention” initiative—efforts
intended to increase student readiness for college, retention, completion, efficiency, and relevance
to the local community. The CCC has added remedial classes using smaller cohorts, increased
advisor-to-student ratios, created a comprehensive credential and transfer system, and is even
adding two new campuses. CCC is also using a data- and analytics-fueled effort to improve
student outcomes. Similarly, Georgia State has undertaken a targeted student success program
that pairs predictive analytics with on-the-ground peer and faculty advising.
Outcomes can be improved through increased collaboration among higher education institutions.
Collaboration between two-year and four-year schools can help create programs to ease the
transition and transferability between those schools, which will improve completion and student
success rates. Collaboration between educational institutions and private sector employers can
help meet the needs of the workforce of the state and ensure students are well prepared for a job.
Partnerships among higher education institutions in other states suggest additional possibilities.
Some universities have collaborated to centralize back-office functions and services that they
redirect to educational programs (e.g. , academic programs and financial aid). The University of
California’s “Working Smarter” collaboration, for example, includes initiatives ranging from
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57 Public Sector Consultants (2003). “Michigan’s Higher Education System: A Guide for State Policymakers,” Big Rapids, MI: Ferris State University.
strategic sourcing to shared back office services to captive insurance plans and is on track to
save the state $500 million. The effort includes standardizing procurement systems across all
10 campuses and co-locating and consolidating IT centers.
Michigan could realize greater results by building on some collaboration models already in
place —both operational collaborations to generate cost savings and educational collaborations
that improve learning outcomes.
58
Current operational collaborations include the Michigan
Universities Self-Insurance Corporation (M.U.S.I.C.) and Michigan Universities Coalition on
Health (MUCH). Educational collaborations include the Michigan Transfer Network (MTN), an
effort to establish a core transfer equivalency system, and the Academic Program Review (APR),
a cooperative review process for new or revised academic programs. The Michigan Community
College Association (MCCA) has established four centers of excellence—the Michigan Center for
Student Success, the Virtual Learning Collaborative, the Michigan New Jobs Training Program,
and the Michigan Center for Global Initiatives. In addition, a Michigan Transfer Agreement has
been established to streamline the transfer of the first 30 core units.
Recommendations:
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2. Become a Top Ten state for higher education outcomes.
• Continue to use performance-based funding to ensure institutions focus on
and excel at their core missions. Performance-based funding encourages
differentiation by focusing institutions on the core missions upon which they
were founded, without discouraging creative partnerships across institutions
that meet changing local needs. Examples include four-year programs that
begin at two-year colleges, partnerships that connect the research conducted
at research universities with educational programs at regional universities, etc.
• Support rigorous research on new education delivery methods and
aggressively implement proven, effective solutions. Creating a single center
of excellence within institutions and a statewide consortium to collaborate
across institutions would accelerate adoption of the most effective new
education delivery methods, such as competency-based learning, digital and
distance learning, predictive analysis and online remediation systems. The
cost of developing new educational delivery methods is prohibitive for many
institutions and can be better achieved through collaboration.
• Embrace performance-based state funding. Revenue limitations have reset
the role of states from “funders” to “major donors” of higher education.
Universities and colleges can ease this transition by embracing a commitment
to higher outcomes and accountability in exchange for greater support.
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58 Presidents Council, State Universities of Michigan (2011). “Collaborating for Success: Advancing Public Higher Education Through Cooperation.” Lansing, MI: PCSUM.
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• Develop more programs that offer sub-degree certificates. These “boot
camps” could help address specific needs that are relevant to the
workforce and the economy and would be much more cost-effective for
students seeking to improve their skills. Performance-based funding
metrics would need to be created to address this desired outcome.
• Increase transferability of credits. Stronger coordination between two- and
four-year colleges should increase the number of credits that are easily
transferred and provide stronger support systems to ensure transfer
students succeed at their new school.
• Increase adoption of dual credits. Courses offered for dual credit stem
from agreements between high schools, universities and community
colleges whereby a high school junior or senior enrolls in a college course
and simultaneously earns college credit and high school credit for the course.
• Incent college completion. Underperforming colleges and universities
should set goals for increasing degree completion and offer support
services, restructured course schedules, and modified financial aid
incentives based on an analysis of each campus’ experience.
The state, business community, and universities and colleges should:
• Expand the existing higher education performance tracker. BLM’s
Performance Tracker for Public Universities should be expanded to provide
simple, clear, and user-friendly data (e.g. , an online return-on-investment
calculator) that shows, for each institution of higher education (universities
and community colleges), the potential costs and benefits of different
educational choices. This will help parents and students better evaluate
whether they are getting value for money.
• Form a new public-private partnership to accelerate collaboration. The
voluntary formation of a council by business, higher education and the
state could accelerate collaboration while building on the advantages of
Michigan’s current governance structure.
— The mission should focus on benchmarking the competitiveness of
Michigan higher education, identifying strategies that will accelerate
achievement of state talent needs, maintaining databases that identify
institutional performance and student outcomes (e.g. the performance
tracker referenced above) and increasing cross-institutional collaboration
that improves outcomes. Collaboration initiatives should include
consolidating back-office operations, developing marketing programs to
increase student enrollment and coordinating programs to meet regional
workforce development needs.
— The partnership should be established as a non-profit organization,
remain independent of the political process, be professionally staffed
and have a distinguished board. The Governor, Business Leaders for
Michigan and higher education organizations could form this
partnership by appointing distinguished former and current business
executives, higher education presidents and state leaders.
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From Education to Employment
Higher education institutions must provide graduates with the education and
skills to get a good first job and have a successful career and life. While not the
sole purpose of higher education, the development of knowledge and skills that prepare
graduates for employment broaden their opportunity to lead successful lives. The likelihood of
successful employment after graduation remains an important factor for students and parents
in choosing which school to attend and what area to study. At the same time, a more educated
workforce contributes to a more productive state economy. Graduates of Michigan’s four-year
public universities earned $47 billion in salaries and wages in 2012. Their earnings represent
25 percent of the state’s total despite composing only about 15 percent of the population.
59
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3.
Key findings:
• The shift to a knowledge-based economy and Michigan’s resurgent economic growth has
created short- and long-term challenges of matching workforce supply with demand. Michigan
faces a short-term shortage of skilled workers (e.g. , workers with associate’s degrees or
other certificates) and a mid- to long-term shortage of workers with advanced degrees.
Michigan’s aging population will create a large number of job openings for workers with
less than a two-year degree in the next few years. But once those jobs are filled, Michigan
will find that most new jobs will be in fields that require at least a two-year degree.
— According to a Glengariff poll and a survey of BLM members, 28 percent of
small/medium and 73 percent of large businesses experienced difficulty filling
available above average wage jobs. While a majority of these jobs were in technically
oriented fields, such as engineering or information technology, a large number were
also in management, sales, marketing, and other fields.
60
— The largest number of projected job openings by 2020 will be in sales, office support
and blue-collar fields that mostly require workers with no more than a credential
mostly due to the need to replace retiring workers.
62
— The largest percentage of net new jobs that are projected to be created by 2020 are in
the health care and management fields, the vast majority of which require a minimum
of a two-year degree.
61
• Michigan is increasing its production of graduates with critical skills degrees and
certificates, but still falls below Top Ten and peer states. The number of critical skill
degrees awarded in Michigan since 2003 has risen 4.6 percent annually, but still fell six
percent lower than the Top Ten average annual increase in 2013. Michigan was also
outranked by most of its peers in terms of both the level and growth of critical skills
degrees and certificates awarded (Exhibit 13).
62
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59 PCSUM; US Bureau of Economic Analysis; US Census Bureau. Analysis by BLM..
60 Business Leaders for Michigan (2013). “Business Leaders’ Insights: Michigan’s Workforce Strengths and Challenges.” Op. Cit.
61 Carnevale, A.; Smith, N. & Strohl, J. (2013). “Recovery—Job Growth And Education Requirements Through 2020.” Washington, D.C.: Georgetown University
Center on Education and the Workforce.
62 Business Leaders for Michigan (2014). “2014 Economic Competitiveness Benchmarking Report: Data Supporting the Michigan Turnaround Plan.” Op. Cit.
Exhibit 13: Technical Education Degrees Per Capita
63
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63 Ibid.
64 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Fall 2012, Completions Component.” Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics; U.S. Census
Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.” Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau.
Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan
65 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
66 Humanities includes degrees in area, ethnic, cultural, gender, and group studies; English language and literature/letters; foreign languages, literatures, and linguistics; liberal arts
and sciences, general studies and humanities; multi/interdisciplinary studies; philosophy and religious studies; theology and religious vocations; and visual and performing arts.
Natural Sciences includes degrees in biological and biomedical sciences; physical sciences; science technologies/technicians; and mathematics and statistics. Engineering
includes engineering; engineering technologies/technicians; mechanic and repair technologies/technicians; and construction trades. Other ?elds includes agriculture, agricultural
operations, and related sciences; natural resources and conservation; architecture and related services; communication, journalism, and related programs; communications
technologies/technicians and support services; family and consumer services/human sciences; legal professions and studies; library science; military technologies and applied
sciences; parks, recreation, leisure, and ?tness studies; homeland security, law enforcement, and ?re?ghting; public administration and social service professions; transportation
and materials moving; and not classi?ed by ?eld of study.
67 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.” Op. Cit.
Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan. Analysis by BLM.
68 Carnevale, A.; Smith, N. & Strohl, J. (2013). Op. Cit.
69 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
• Michigan produces fewer four-year degree graduates than Top Ten states in most fields and
only exceeds the Top Ten average in engineering and computer science (Exhibit 14).
64
Exhibit 14: Four-Year Degree Production Per Capita
65 66
2012 Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded per 100,000 Residents
• Michigan produces a comparable level of two-year degree and sub-baccalaureate certificate
talent in most fields to Top Ten states, but far more in health sciences and far fewer in
manufacturing and construction (Exhibits 15 & 16).
67
Michigan’s aging demographics will
create high demand to fill over 250,000 skilled trades and technical jobs by 2020—jobs that
often pay above average wages.
68
Exhibit 15: Two-Year Degree Production Per Capita
69
2010 Associate’s Degrees Awarded per 100,000 Residents
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Humanities Psychology Social sciences
and history
Natural
sciences
Computer
sciences
Engineering Education Business/
management
Health
professions and
related programs
Other fields
2
Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Agriculture and
natural
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Business
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Business
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Communications
and design
Computer and
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Consumer
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Education Engineering,
architecture,
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technology
Health sciences Manufacturing,
construction,
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transportation
Marketing Protective
services
Public, legal, and
social services
2
Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
Exhibit 16: Certificate Production Per Capita
70
2010 Sub-baccalaureate Certi?cates Awarded per 100,000 Residents
• Employer satisfaction with the degree and skill production of Michigan’s higher education
institutions differs. A majority of Michigan’s large businesses report being satisfied with the
degrees and skills of graduates of our public universities, according to a statewide
Glengariff poll and a survey of BLM members. But only half of large businesses are similarly
satisfied with the production of community colleges and one-third of Michigan’s
small/medium businesses report being dissatisfied with the production of both the state’s
community colleges and universities (Exhibit 17).
71
Exhibit 17: Michigan Business Satisfaction with Higher Education Graduates
72
Businesses Satisfied with MI Higher Education System’s Production of Degrees and Skills
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2
Michigan Top Ten Avg Peer Avg
70 NCES Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). “Institutional Characteristics (IC) and Completions Component, 2010.” Washington, DC: National Center for
Education Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau (2012). “Annual Estimates of the Population for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012.”
Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Analysis by Business Leaders for Michigan.
71 Business Leaders for Michigan (2013). “Business Leaders’ Insights: Michigan’s Workforce Strengths and Challenges.” Op. Cit.
72 Ibid.
62%
67%
49%
85%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Community Colleges Universities
B
Small/Medium Businesses
(< 500 employees)
Large Businesses
• The current difficulty in filling jobs appears to be due more to a lack of relevant experience
and skills than to a lack of proper education credentials.
— Ninety-three percent of large and 88 percent of small/medium businesses report that job
applicants meet the minimum education requirements for available jobs (Exhibit 18).
— More than half of all businesses report a lack of applicants with adequate experience or
skills for not being able to fill above average paying jobs (Exhibit 19). More than 90
percent of all businesses cite a job applicant’s skills and experience as being the most
important requirement for a job with their company. This is not to suggest that all
institutions of higher education should turn into vocational schools, but that these
institutions could do more to ensure that the skills and modes of thinking taught prepare
graduates to seek and hold employment. The result is that 31 percent of employers
nationally believe that recent graduates are not prepared for entry-level jobs, and many
call skills shortages a leading cause of entry-level vacancies.
73
Many students agree that
they are not adequately prepared, although education providers disagree (Exhibit 20).
Exhibit 18: Michigan Job Applicants Meeting Education Requirements
74
Percentage of Applicants Meeting Education Requirements
Exhibit 19: Michigan Job Applicants Meeting Skill Requirements
75
Percentage of Applicants Not Meeting Skill Requirements
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