Affordable Housing: Market Scenario in India

Description
This is a report about affordable housing, real estate industry evolution, demand supply dynamics, Opportunities for affordable housing in India, Issues relating to Affordable Housing.

AFFORDABLE HOUSING Market Scenario in India

Presented by:
Mr. Ashish Jindal Regional Director (North) Knight Frank India Pvt. Ltd

Introduction to Affordable Housing

• Housing for the masses • Comfortable living
• Location proximity

• Affordability is quantified by • Household income
• Price of the product

• Affordability does not compromise on • Quality of construction
• Provisioning of socio – economic infrastructure

• Recent shift in focus towards affordable housing

Growth Scenario of Indian Economy

• GDP growth surpassing target rates

• Decline in population below poverty line

Real Estate Industry Evolution
15 YEARS AGO Unorganized sector Controlled development by development authority Traditional construction techniques Funding through unorganized sector Loan approval – quarterly execution Property purchase at fag end of career NOW Organized sector Private sector participation Modern Mechanized construction Techniques Multiple funding Options Loan processing in a matter of days Property owners’ age – 27 and above

Demand Supply Dynamics
• Short Supply of residential dwellings
• Supply shortfall existing since post independence • In 2005 estimated demand is 209.5 million, supply is 189.7 Million • Demand – Supply gap is narrowing

Demand Supply Dynamics – cont’d
• Low supply of housing for low income earners • As per 11th 5 year plan
- Shortage of 24.71 million dwellings - Close to 99 % of shortage in EWS & LIG segment

Category EWS LIG MIG + HIG Total

Housing shortage (Mn) 21.78 2.89 0.04 24.71

Supply way away from Reality- Bangalore
Price Related Income take home (Lakhs) 10-12 18-21 21-25 45-50 60-70 80-90

Price < 50 lk 50-80 lk 80 lk - 1 cr 1 cr -2 cr 2cr - 3cr > 3 cr

Supply Split 28% 29% 4% 29% 2% 8%

Income Level Per Capita (Targeted)

Rs. 5,50,000

This wide gap is seen existing across most urban cities in India

WIDE GAP

Rs. 79,460

Actual Per Capita Income

Reversal of growth factors
THEN NOW

Continuous increase in GDP Increase in income levels
2003

Decline in GDP growth rate
2007 & beyond

Lowering of home loan interest rates Affordable property prices High market sentiments

Income level stagnation/ risk of layoffs High lending rate Unaffordable property prices Low market sentiments

Opportunities for Affordable Housing in India

• Restructuring of the housing sector • Re-focusing product to real end user demand • Catering to strong domestic demand • Real estate as a widely linked sector • linkages with 200 industries
• Multiplier effect on growth •

Growing urban population
• Projected urban population to 533 million by 2025

Issues relating to Affordable Housing

• Lack of regulatory mechanism •High cost of land • Stringent land acquisition process • Double taxation system – high transaction cost • Constraining density norms

Suggestions
• • • • • • • • Speedy approvals of housing projects Provisioning of additional FSI Improving connectivity to suburbs Rationalization of transaction cost Non scarcity of developed land Creation of Special Residential Zones (SRZ) Value engineering in construction Private Public Participation (PPP model)

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