The superficial NPA arguments
By: Amit Bhushan Date: 3rd April 20161
BANKING NPA DEBATEST here is again a chance to belittle the problems pertaining to NPAs especially at the PSU banks. Arguments being forwarded mostly goes like this. That risk taking is part and parcel of any business. Entrepreneurs take risk to make wealth and banks and investors too, participate in risk taking of sorts in order to make their money. Some amount of losses is therefore justified. As we are encouraging more entrepreneur and by the same logic - risk taking; so NPAs should not be of much concern. Even new entrepreneurs would make some NPAs which will come forth later. And actually there is nothing wrong in the above statement/s since these are matter of fact.
However, it is the way how the overall lending system works and the impact on the ecosystem which makes things either justified or unjustified. If two entrepreneurs propose same or similar projects, and one of them has past or family background of business (with banking relationships) while other hasn't; one can easily know who would walk away with the bank finance. The decision has got nothing to do with ability to either develop/nurture the new project or ability to operate the project successfully. Just ability to 'deal' with the bank is the primary key to decision. It may be noted that past background of the loan to the entrepreneur or his family regards repayment, may not be called for in many such occasion and just 'knowing' people does the job sometimes with a little "greasing of palms". And, the bankers feel perfectly "right", (even ignoring the bribery involved as minuscule role) since there is possibility of advice and support from family for the project as well as in "managing" banking and other relationships with the requisite authorities towards successful running of such projects.
So banker believe that managing these relations with authorities and financers is a key to successfully service the loan rather than project skills. It is in this context that discussions related NPAs become vital. By clearly forcing NPAs related rules, one is avoiding concentration risk of loans and allowing more entrepreneurs in the economy. Firstly, by ensuring that bias in the banking system is evened out a bit and bankers are not able to play favorites (since there is also a demand to monitor suitable credit deposit ratios in banks, although conveniently ignored by media eager to push their own stories). Second, by ensuring that businesses who have defaulted on loans are concentrating to correct the track record first, so better distribution of opportunities. This is not the case presently as most (Big) defaulters are seen clamoring for fresh projects with the backing of political lordship as well as bankers.
Third is improving better planning process since entrepreneurs who face the risk are in a better position to foresee these early on and advise the government to iron out the issues beforehand; which in present scenarios is not done where focus is on getting the project awarded and then managing 'things' later. This also allows entrepreneurs to stick to their competency areas rather than spreading themselves left, right and center since a flop show would have repercussions not only on the new project but also ensure enough pressure on the existing ones to make good towards the losses of the lenders as is the case for the not so well connected businessmen. Sorting out these issues actually improves the system and helps new as well as old business to proper basis their own competitive merits.Now coming to the issue that such measures would lower credit off take and hence growth which being touted as some great anti-people measure and probably one that would lead to more NPA related pressures on banks.
If stressed assets are restructured through the strategic investors route (which is normally seen as creating best value as well as possible better valuation), then banking assets become stress free and therefore lesser pressure on banks. They also become better aware of issues in the sectors that they have financed as such exercise would bring out such issues as well as ways to resolve them. This actually improves competency to lead as well as to deal with issues, subject of course to the political will. However what we have is tendency of intellectuals is to back the existing businessmen and political leadership view that investments and credit would come to a halt should banks become aggressive with the defaulting businesses. This has two assumptions not getting questioned i.e. first, the government may not be smoothing out issues with the industry to the extent desired by (strategic) investors and second is a dearth of new risk takers especially for large projects. This is even as well have numerous small and medium enterprises wanting to become bigger and also a flourishing start up sector as reported.
Now what may be lacking is guanxi connect (and we thought that guanxi is only Chinese problem) with these businesses, but the banks and commercial news media simply makes this issue non-existent, isn't it. And then we also have policy based decisions as well, isn't it.
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