The Big Change in Indian Politics

The Big Change in Indian Politics​

By: Amit Bhushan Date: 19th Mar. 2018

The ability to ‘see’ through ‘change’ has its advantages in politics. This however requires a lot of conviction to overcome fears and embrace the change, if one is a political Neta, though. Most of the Netas want the goodies to just keep rolling on to, by themselves. That this is also ‘egged’ by a lot of other Netas, who just want continuity of their politics, but with little or no understanding for the ‘change’. A challenge has been that most Netas are focused on the ‘image management’ for their acceptability to public, rather than ‘themes’ are becoming popular to push for change and aligning with those themes. If one goes through which themes that are gaining in popularity and align with the themes rather, one has a greater potential to witness change or even being part of it. This is however done under duress in politics, rather than as a political choice by the Netas as perceived risks are higher and a ride on it, more difficult. Nevertheless, ‘Game’ can still make some forecasts for the likely ‘Big Change in Indian Politics’ based on this analysis.

This is regards the politics on the Eastern Coast states. But first, a bit more about the themes. A sort of ‘Blame Game’ theme has so far dominated politics and while this is true for much of the country, but this is especially and vehemently popular for the states on the East Coast. The Netas have sought votes, basis their strong identity & traction with the local populace and often blaming the other Netas for not being as close to the roots. The caste or religion factors had a lower play compared to the Rest of India and that’s interesting. This has kept central parties on the back foot, mostly. This is true from Bengal to Tamil Nadu, was much stronger in Tamil heartland and gripped Andhra/Telangana with Bengal having its own localized version of the same due to a different political approach. This theme is likely to see its ending with the ‘Game’ politics, and a ‘Take Responsibility to deliver change’ is likely to rise. The Netas in the central parties are still shy about trying to explore the changing political headwinds in these states, would rather have local proxies and don’t want to take risks because of the lure of power being much higher (& thus alingling on established political lines) than being part of ‘political change’. However, the Netas of the central parties might be in for a surprise due to changing voter trends. Those presenting themselves as a credible alternative with the right themes, including proper program and policy sets besides support for the ‘right local candidates’ including ‘ability to expose and fight graft’ behind the ‘identity Netas’ are likely to reap rewards. Note that only deep gains are being predicted and not a complete ‘change in governance of these states’ (dilution of hold of the localized parties) for now, except for Telangana maybe.

It is likely that one of the local parties may have to depend/collaborate with one of the central parties, going forward to maintain hold on the state politics. Though such collaboration is nothing new, however most of this were kept under wraps. The dependency of the central party on the support of the parties from these states for hold on power at the center, was much more visible. This is likely to be much more balanced out as a result of the changing political themes, if managed/executed properly. It may be noted that along with the ‘caste & religion’ themes, even the ‘local identity’ themes seems to have been diluted and even the local languages themes would only be breathing life as long as it delivers upon the growth in local jobs, better employability of the lower strata youth, their tech enablement besides some elements of the wider cultural factor. There is also likely a much stronger ‘anti-corruption factor’ in play amongst the public in these states compared to the Rest of India, to comfort the resurgence of the stronger Local Netas of the National parties further. Center-state collaboration, PSU investments, support to develop export markets with say ASEAN or other areas including sea-side development are themes to build upon policies and programs. Let the ‘Game’ evolve…

 

[Swaswati Borpuzari]

The Big Change in Indian Politics represents a significant shift in the landscape of governance, public policy, and electoral dynamics in the world's largest democracy. This transformation is marked by several key developments, including the rise of new political parties, the increasing importance of regional politics, and the growing influence of social media in shaping public opinion. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has been a dominant force, leveraging technology and mass mobilization to resonate with a broad spectrum of the electorate. Concurrently, the Indian National Congress, once the undisputed leader of the political scene, has faced internal challenges and a decline in support, leading to a fragmented opposition that is working to find common ground. Additionally, the political agenda has evolved to prioritize issues such as economic development, national security, and social reforms, reflecting the changing priorities of India's youthful and aspirational population. The role of women and marginalized communities in politics has also seen a notable increase, with more candidates from these groups running for office and winning, thereby enhancing the inclusivity of the political process. These changes underscore a dynamic and evolving political environment in India, one that is increasingly participatory and reflective of the diverse and complex nature of the Indian society.

 

[Dhruv Bindhani]

The Big Change in Indian Politics​

By: Amit Bhushan Date: 19th Mar. 2018

The ability to ‘see’ through ‘change’ has its advantages in politics. This however requires a lot of conviction to overcome fears and embrace the change, if one is a political Neta, though. Most of the Netas want the goodies to just keep rolling on to, by themselves. That this is also ‘egged’ by a lot of other Netas, who just want continuity of their politics, but with little or no understanding for the ‘change’. A challenge has been that most Netas are focused on the ‘image management’ for their acceptability to public, rather than ‘themes’ are becoming popular to push for change and aligning with those themes. If one goes through which themes that are gaining in popularity and align with the themes rather, one has a greater potential to witness change or even being part of it. This is however done under duress in politics, rather than as a political choice by the Netas as perceived risks are higher and a ride on it, more difficult. Nevertheless, ‘Game’ can still make some forecasts for the likely ‘Big Change in Indian Politics’ based on this analysis.

This is regards the politics on the Eastern Coast states. But first, a bit more about the themes. A sort of ‘Blame Game’ theme has so far dominated politics and while this is true for much of the country, but this is especially and vehemently popular for the states on the East Coast. The Netas have sought votes, basis their strong identity & traction with the local populace and often blaming the other Netas for not being as close to the roots. The caste or religion factors had a lower play compared to the Rest of India and that’s interesting. This has kept central parties on the back foot, mostly. This is true from Bengal to Tamil Nadu, was much stronger in Tamil heartland and gripped Andhra/Telangana with Bengal having its own localized version of the same due to a different political approach. This theme is likely to see its ending with the ‘Game’ politics, and a ‘Take Responsibility to deliver change’ is likely to rise. The Netas in the central parties are still shy about trying to explore the changing political headwinds in these states, would rather have local proxies and don’t want to take risks because of the lure of power being much higher (& thus alingling on established political lines) than being part of ‘political change’. However, the Netas of the central parties might be in for a surprise due to changing voter trends. Those presenting themselves as a credible alternative with the right themes, including proper program and policy sets besides support for the ‘right local candidates’ including ‘ability to expose and fight graft’ behind the ‘identity Netas’ are likely to reap rewards. Note that only deep gains are being predicted and not a complete ‘change in governance of these states’ (dilution of hold of the localized parties) for now, except for Telangana maybe.

It is likely that one of the local parties may have to depend/collaborate with one of the central parties, going forward to maintain hold on the state politics. Though such collaboration is nothing new, however most of this were kept under wraps. The dependency of the central party on the support of the parties from these states for hold on power at the center, was much more visible. This is likely to be much more balanced out as a result of the changing political themes, if managed/executed properly. It may be noted that along with the ‘caste & religion’ themes, even the ‘local identity’ themes seems to have been diluted and even the local languages themes would only be breathing life as long as it delivers upon the growth in local jobs, better employability of the lower strata youth, their tech enablement besides some elements of the wider cultural factor. There is also likely a much stronger ‘anti-corruption factor’ in play amongst the public in these states compared to the Rest of India, to comfort the resurgence of the stronger Local Netas of the National parties further. Center-state collaboration, PSU investments, support to develop export markets with say ASEAN or other areas including sea-side development are themes to build upon policies and programs. Let the ‘Game’ evolve…

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