Development Opportunity:Aerospace Defence BRIC

Description
the strategies have to be set so that the maximum can be made out of each country. I have given a broader preoperative while concluding the paper. The main Idea behind this paper is to think that BRIC countries are not each other’s competitors but partners. If the work as a group they can speed up their economic growth.Tools such as PEST and SWOT along with latest industry trends are used to draw conclusions

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

1
 


 


 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 


 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 


 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 
  Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 
  in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

 
Submitted
 By:
 Ashish
 Jude
 Michael
  Participant
 PGPEx
 
  (OUC
 China
 +
 IIM
 Shillong,
 India)
 

 
  *Image
 show
 Embraer,
 Sukhoi,
 Tejas
 and
 Comac
 from
 Brazil,
 Russia,
 India
 &
 China
 respectively.
 


 

2
 
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

Table
 of
 Contents
 

  Executive
 Summary
  1
 Introduction
 to
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 Industry
 
  1.1 Brief
 History
 about
 development
 of
 A&D
 Industry.
  1.2 Present
 Scenario.
  1.2.1 Effect
 of
 Euro
 Zone
 crisis
 on
 A&D
 Industry.
 
  2 A
 Brief
 Introduction
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 
  2.1
 A&D
 Industry
 in
 Brazil
  2.1.1 Present
 Scenario
  2.1.2 PEST
 Analysis
 
  2.1.3 SWOT
 Analysis
 
  2.1.4 Market
 Growth
  2.1.5 Opportunities
  2.1.6 Suggestions
 
  2.2 A&D
 Industry
 in
 Russia
  2.2.1 Present
 Scenario
  2.2.2 PEST
 Analysis
 
  2.2.3 SWOT
 Analysis
 
  2.2.4 Market
 Growth
  2.2.5 Opportunities
  2.2.6 Suggestions
 
  2.3 A&D
 Industry
 in
 India
  2.3.1 Present
 Scenario
  2.3.2 PEST
 Analysis
 
  2.3.3 SWOT
 Analysis
 
  2.3.4 Market
 Growth
  2.3.5 Opportunities
  2.3.6 Suggestions
 
  2.4 A&D
 Industry
 in
 China
  2.4.1 Present
 Scenario
  2.4.2 PEST
 Analysis
 
  2.4.3 SWOT
 Analysis
 
  2.4.4 Market
 Growth
  2.4.5 Opportunities
  2.4.6 Suggestions
 
  2.6
 How
 to
 grow
 together
 as
 BRIC
 using
 A&D
 industry
 as
 a
 tool?
 
  Exhibits:
 1
 -­?9
  Sources
 &
 References:
 
 
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

3
 


  Executive
 Summary:
 
  This
 paper
 is
 about
 how
 the
 BRIC
 nations
 can
 use
 A&D
 industry
 as
 tool
 for
 growth
 for
  combined
 growth.
 We
 have
 analyzed
 each
 country
 through
 PEST
 &
 SWOT
 analysis
 and
 found
  their
 Core
 Competencies
 and
 Competitive
 Advantage.
 
  Then
 accordingly
 the
 strategies
 have
 to
 be
 set
 so
 that
 the
 maximum
 can
 be
 made
 out
 of
 each
  country.
 I
 have
 given
 a
 broader
 preoperative
 while
 concluding
 the
 paper.
 The
 main
 Idea
 behind
  this
 paper
 is
 to
 think
 that
 BRIC
 countries
 are
 not
 each
 other’s
 competitors
 but
 partners.
 If
 the
  work
 as
 a
 group
 they
 can
 speed
 up
 their
 economic
 growth.
 
 
 
 
 
  1
 Introduction
 to
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 Industry:
 
  1.1
 Brief
 History
 about
 development
 of
 A&D
 Industry.
 
 
 
 
 
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 Industry
 now
 days
 generally
 referred
 as
 
 A&D
 industry.
 If
 we
 want
 to
  find
 the
 history
 of
 this
 industry
 we
 can
 say
 it
 started
 in
 1908
 when
 Wright
 Brothers
 got
 an
  order
 from
 U.S.
 Army
 to
 make
 one
 aircraft
 and
 also
 when
 they
 licensed
 their
 patents
 to
 Astra
  Company
 to
 manufacture
 aircraft
 in
 France.
  Europeans
 took
 an
 earlier
 advantage
 in
 A&D
 business
 right
 from
 the
 start
 of
 First
 World
 War
 in
  1914
 during
 which
 French
 firms
 built
 about
 200O,
 Germans
 about
 1000
 and
 Britain
 also
  approximately
 1000
 aircrafts.
 And
 Americans
 hardly
 100
 aircrafts.
  After
 the
 First
 World
 War
 most
 of
 the
 aircraft
 companies,
 which
 survived,
 were
 basically
  because
 of
 entrepreneur
 sprit.
 Americans
 invested
 on
 R&D
 and
 got
 many
 patents
 and
 this
 give
  them
 an
 upper
 hand
 over
 Europe
 and
 became
 a
 major
 player
 in
 A&D
 Industry.
 In
 the
 six-­?year
  period
 1940
 through
 1945.In
 1943,
 the
 aviation
 industry
 was
 America's
 largest
 producer
 and
  employer
 with
 1,345,600
 people
 bent
 to
 the
 task
 of
 making
 aircraft.
 We
 can
 say
 this
 was
 the
  start
 of
 American
 dominance
 in
 A&D
 Industry.
 
 Production
 reached
 maximum
 during
 World
  War
 II,
 despite
 a
 minor
 blip
 for
 the
 wars
 in
 Korea
 and
 Vietnam.
 Instead,
 research
 ruled
 the
  industry.
 During
 cold
 war
 the
 demand
 of
 stealth
 and
 UAV
 increased.
 This
 lead
 to
 new
  technologies
 prompted
 a
 massive
 restructuring
 of
 the
 industry.
 Established
 airframe
 firms
  shifted
 from
 manufacturing
 to
 research,
 while
 the
 military
 channeled
 funds
 to
 technology-­? specific
 startup
 firms.
  And
 after
 the
 Cold
 war
 season
 started
 Globalization
 and
 the
 world
 became
 a
 Global
 Village.
  Hence
 the
 civil
 aviation
 became
 an
 important
 means
 of
 transport
 and
 this
 boost
 the
 A&D
  Industry.
 
 And
 at
 present
 Boeing
 and
 Airbus
 are
 major
 players
 in
 Commercial
 sectors.
 Where
 else
 Boeing,
  United
 Technologies
 were
 leaders
 in
 A&D
 Sectors
 during
 2011
 as
 per
 Fortune
 500
 (Refer
  Exhibit
 2).
 
 
 
  1.2
 Present
 Scenario.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 Aerospace
 and
 defense
 industry
 delivers
 a
 second
 consecutive
 Year
 of
 record
 revenues
 and
  Profit
 in
 year
 2011
 as
 per
 data
 from
 Boeing
 &
 EADS
 (Refer
 Exhibit
 3).
 
 If
 we
 consider
 commercial
 aerospace
 market
 things
 were
 appearing
 good
 and
 Industry
 leaders
  were
 optimistic
 as
 Air
 Traffic
 was
 strong
 and
 steady
 which
 was
 driving
 the
 after
 market
  business
 also
 the
 industry
 had
 delivered
 a
 record
 number
 of
 large
 aircraft
 and
 orders
 are
  available
 for
 next
 8
 years.
 
 
  1.2.1
 Effect
 of
 Euro
 Zone
 crisis
 on
 A&D
 Industry:
 

4
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  With
 the
 onset
 of
 Eurozone
 crisis
 it
 is
 difficult
 that
 the
 forecasted
 figures
 of
 3.5%
 by
 IATA
 for
  the
 Air
 traffic
 in
 year
 2012
 can
 be
 met.
 This
 is
 because
 Europe
 is
 the
 largest
 Air
 Travel
 market
  in
 the
 world
 and
 the
 condition
 of
 Eurozone
 Crisis
 is
 deteriorating
 day
 by
 day.
  Still
 the
 implication
 of
 Eurozone
 Crisis
 on
 
 
 Commercial
 Aerospace
 OEMs
 and
 after
 market
  suppliers
 remains
 unclear.
 Though
 certain
 suppliers
 will
 be
 negatively
 affected
 by
 stringent
  credit
 standards
 and
 higher
 oil
 prices.
 And
 also
 the
 after
 market
 suppliers
 will
 be
 at
 greater
  risk
 than
 the
 Commercial
 Aerospace
 OEMs.
 
 
  2
 A
 Brief
 Introduction
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 
 
1800
  1600
  1400
  1200
  1000
  800
  600
  400
  200
  0
  2007
  2008
  2009
  2010
  2011
  World
  BRICS
  100.00 %
  World
  BRIC
  16.83 %
 


 
 
  As
 we
 can
 see
 from
 A&D
 Insights
 2011
 by
 pwc
 (Refer
 Exhibit
 2)
 that
 A&D
 industry
 is
 still
 not
  totally
 globalized
 it
 ranks
 at
 8
 out
 of
 total
 15
 stated
 industries.
 There
 is
 a
 huge
 potential
 for
  emerging
 economies
 such
 as
 BRIC
 in
 A&D
 industry.
 And
 the
 economic
 slowdown
 is
 in
 some
  manner
 helping
 this
 as
 the
 top
 line
 is
 reducing
 hence
 OEMs
 are
 trying
 to
 maximize
 profit
 by
  decreasing
 the
 bottom
 line.
 One
 way
 of
 reducing
 the
 bottom
 line
 is
 by
 reducing
 the
 cost
 in
  manufacturing
 and
 R&D.
 OEMs
 are
 doing
 this
 by
 outsourcing
 the
 manufacturing
 &
 R&D
 to
  offset
 locations.
  And
 if
 observe
 the
 graphs
 shown
 above
 we
 can
 see
 that
 even
 the
 defense
 budget
 for
 BRIC
 is
  increasing
 continuously
 from
 2007
 onwards
 and
 if
 we
 compare
 to
 the
 world
 trend
 the
 increase
  in
 defense
 expenditure
 is
 at
 lower
 rate
 then
 BRIC
 ,
 in
 near
 future
 BRIC
 will
 be
 the
 leading
  spenders.
 Even
 now
 they
 are
 accounting
 for
 about
 16%
 of
 world
 total
 defense
 expenditure.
  This
 can
 observed
 from
 the
 recent
 data
 provided
 in
 A&D
 Insights
 2011
 by
 pwc
 (Exhibit
 6),
  where
 a
 relation
 is
 shown
 in
 terms
 percentage
 of
 Total
 GDP
 the
 expenditure
 for
 each
 country.
  Where
 China
 spends
 maximum
 approximately
 12
 %
 and
 India
 is
 lowest
 about
 4%
 with
 Brazil
 &
  Russia
 at
 6%
 &
 10%
 respectively.
 
 
  Similarly
 if
 we
 consider
 the
 commercial
 air
 traffic
 market
 we
 can
 observe
 that
 the
 U.S.
 &
  European
 market
 are
 nearly
 saturated.
 And
 the
 BRIC
 countries
 have
 large
 countries
 they
 have
  neary
 40%
 of
 world’s
 total
 population
 scattered
 over
 25%
 of
 earths
 land
 which
 they
 cover
 and
  with
 a
 combined
 GDP
 growth
 of
 about
 25%
 of
 world.
 This
 is
 further
 strengthen
 by
 the
 recent
  statics
 given
 in
 
 A&D
 Insights
 2011
 by
 pwc
 (Exhibit
 5)
 ,
 which
 speaks
 that
 the
 air
 traffic
 in
 Asia-­? pacific*
 is
 expected
 rise
 from
 present
 21%
 in
 2008
 to
 31%
 in
 2028
 of
 total
 world’s.
 This
 is
 further
  confirmed
 from
 the
 order
 books
 of
 Boeing
 &
 Airbus
 who
 have
 to
 deliver
 about
 37%
 of
 their
  remaining
 orders
 for
 the
 period
 of
 (2009-­?2028)
 to
 Asia-­?pacific*
 region.
 (*Asia-­?pacific
 region
  includes
 India
 &
 China,
 which
 are
 key
 constituents
 of
 BRIC).
 


 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

5
 


  And
 the
 rise
 in
 commercial
 air
 traffic
 also
 opens
 gates
 for
 MRO
 (Maintaince,
 Repair&
 Overhaul)
  in
 India
 &
 China.
 At
 present
 the
 MRO
 center
 for
 Asia-­?pacific
 region
 is
 Singapore.
 Just
 to
 give
 an
  idea
 about
 the
 potential
 of
 MRO
 market
 I
 would
 like
 to
 tell
 you
 that
 the
 total
 cost
 spent
 on
 MRO
  activities
 for
 an
 Commercial
 Aircraft
 in
 its
 useful
 service
 life
 is
 equivalent
 to
 the
 total
 initial
  cost
 of
 that
 Aircraft.
 
 
  Just
 analyzing
 the
 recent
 trends
 we
 can
 see
 that
 in
 2009,
 the
 number
 of
 investments
 made
 by
  Top
 50
 Global
 A&D
 firms,
 in
 R&D
 side
 maximum
 12
 were
 done
 in
 India
 followed
 by
 6
 in
 Russia
  and
 4
 in
 China,
 in
 manufacturing
 side
 maximum
 23
 were
 done
 in
 China
 followed
 by
 20
 in
 India,
  9
 in
 Russia
 and
 2
 in
 Brazil.
 Hence
 we
 can
 observe
 a
 trend
 that
 India
 is
 soon
 becoming
 a
 R&D
  hub
 for
 A&D
 
 this
 may
 be
 also
 contributed
 to
 the
 government
 policies
 and
 political-­?socio-­? economic
 factors
 which
 I
 will
 be
 discussing
 later
 in
 this
 paper
 for
 each
 country.
 China
 is
 still
  maintaining
 its
 brand
 of
 “World’s
 Factory”
 in
 A&D
 sector
 too
 with
 one
 and
 only
 Airbus
  assembly
 line
 operating
 in
 Tenzin.
  The
 challenges
 faced
 by
 BRIC
 countries
 to
 retain
 and
 develop
 the
 A&D
 sectors
 are
 investment
  risk
 to
 IPR
 and
 the
 Frauds.
 The
 gravity
 of
 these
 issues
 can
 be
 understood
 from
 Exhibits
 8&9,
  which
 are
 taken
 from
 A&D
 Insights
 2011
 by
 pwc.
 It
 can
 be
 suggested
 that
 the
 governments
 of
  BRIC
 nations
 should
 have
 stringent
 laws
 dealing
 with
 IPR
 &
 Frauds
 issues
 and
 also
 speed
 up
  the
 legal
 activities
 related
 to
 them.
 
 
  2.1
 A&D
 Industry
 in
 Brazil
  Aerospace
 Industry
 Export
 &
 Import
 

 6,000.00
 
 
 5,000.00
 
 
 4,000.00
 
 
 3,000.00
 
 
 2,000.00
 
 
 1,000.00
 
 
 -­?
 
 
 
  2007
  2008
  2009
  2010
  2011
  Brazil
 Export
  Brazil
 Import
 


  2.1.1
 Present
 Scenario
  Brazil
 is
 one
 of
 the
 countries
 in
 BRIC,
 which
 is
 already
 playing
 a
 major
 role
 in
 A&D
 industry.
  Embraer,
 which
 is
 a
 major
 player
 in
 business
 jets,
 is
 from
 Brazil.
 Also
 it
 is
 the
 second
 largest
  exporter
 in
 Aerospace
 Industry
 after
 China
 among
 BRIC.
 It
 exported
 5469.01
 million
  USD(United
 States
 Dollar)
 while
 it
 imported
 935.77
 million
 
 USD
 worth
 of
 Aerospace
 goods.
 
  It
 is
 facing
 a
 tough
 competition
 from
 China
 &
 India
 now.
 Its
 core
 competency
 can
 be
 said
 to
  lie
 in
 Business
 Jets
 and
 some
 offset
 business
 generated
 by
 Boeing
 in
 Brazil.
  If
 we
 analysis
 the
 Defense
 spending
 it
 was
 relatively
 consistent
 in
 terms
 of
 growth
 in
 2011
 it
  was
 3.53
 billion
 USD
 and
 has
 been
 increased
 by
 18%
 for
 2012.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

6
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  2.1.2
 PEST
 Analysis
 

PEST(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(BRAZIL(
POLITICAL(&(POLICY( 1.? Stable(government.( 2.? No(na;onalis;c(manufacturing(ambi;ons.( 3.? High(import(du;es(on(behalf(of(Embraer.( 4.? Defense(is(top(priority.( ( ECONOMIC( 1.? Seventh(largest(Economy(&(sixth(as(per(GDP.( 2.? Increased(the(defense(budget(by(18%(this(year( hence(a(big(emerging(market.( 3.? Low(external(&(public(debt.( 4.? Supports(manufacturing,(services(and(natural( resource(development(simultaneously.(

SOCIAL(&(LEGAL( 1.IPR&regula-ons&below&average.& 2.Low&unemployment.& 3.2014&FIFA&world&cup&&&2016&Olympic&will&create& the&market&for&more&commercial&air&tra?c.& 4.&Large&popula-on&&&big&country&scope&for& increasing&air&tra?c.&

TECHNOLOGICAL( 1.? Embraer&DNA.& 2.? Experience&work&force&for&A&D&industry&as& Embraer,&one&of&the&largest&brand&in& commercial&aircraNs&is&from&Brazil.& 3.? Has&all&the&resources&required.& 4.? Non&availability&of&exper-se&in&ITES.&


 


 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

7
 


  2.1.3
 SWOT
 Analysis

SWOT(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(BRAZIL(
STRENGTH( 1.? Embraer(DNA.( 2.? Increased(the(defense(budget(by(18%(this(year(hence(a(big( emerging(market.( 3.? Low(external(&(public(debt.( 4.? Supports(manufacturing,(services(and(natural(resource( development(simultaneously.(( 5.? Increased(the(defense(budget(by(18%(this(year(hence(a(big( emerging(market.( 6.? Supports(manufacturing,(services(and(natural(resource( development(simultaneously.( 7.? HighPspeed(development(of(biofuels(for(aviaQon.(( OPPORTUNITIES( 1.? Strategically-located-can-cover-South-American-Market-andAfrican.2.? Has-a-domes<c-brand-Embraer-which-is-one-of-the-majorplayer-in-commercial-business-jets-and-so-can-enter-incommercial-aircraB-business-in-future.3.? Growing-A&D-market-in-BRICS-countries.4.? Can-be-a-preferred-choice-for-manufacturing-for-Europe-&US’s-OEMs-shiBs-their-base-from-Europe-as-it-rela<velyneutral--rather-than-China-&-Russia.WEAKNESS( 1.? IPR(regulaQons(below(average.( 2.? High(import(duQes(on(behalf(of(Embraer.(In(long(run(wil(be( a(problem(as(local(?rms(will(not(be(compeQQve(enough(for( global(market.( 3.? Brazil(is(not(lowPcost.(( 4.? Non(availability(of(experQse(in(ITES.( ( (

THREATS( 1.Rise-in-compe<<on-in-A&D-from-India-&-China.2.-Free-trade-scenario.3.-Increase-in-the-compe<<on-of-Business-jets-faced-by-Embraer.--


  2.2.4
 Market
 Growth
  By
 studying
 the
 PEST
 and
 SWOT
 Analysis
 we
 can
 see
 that
 there
 is
 still
 a
 relatively
 protective
  market
 because
 high
 import
 duties
 are
 levied
 may
 be
 to
 protect
 Embraer.
 
 On
 political
 front
  government
 is
 stable
 and
 they
 have
 not
 started
 investing
 in
 Defense
 Aircraft
 development.
 This
  makes
 it
 still
 available
 defense
 market
 for
 foreign
 companies,
 as
 there
 is
 no
 domestic
  competition.
 In
 next
 four
 years
 Brazil
 is
 going
 to
 hoist
 FIFA
 Football
 World
 cup
 in
 2014
 &
  Olympic
 in
 2016.
 This
 will
 increase
 the
 air
 traffic
 with
 lots
 of
 tourists
 flying
 throughout
 the
  country
 hence
 is
 a
 large
 potential
 market
 in
 short
 term
 for
 Commercial
 aircraft
 companies.
 The
  increasing
 GDP
 is
 raising
 the
 per
 capita
 income
 and
 this
 will
 increase
 the
 time
 value
 of
 its
  nationals,
 which
 will
 further
 encourage
 them
 to
 use
 airways
 instead
 of
 roadways
 or
 railways.
  Hence
 in
 long
 term
 too
 the
 domestic
 air
 traffic
 is
 expected
 to
 rise
 with
 increase
 in
 economic
  growth.
 And
 the
 economic
 growth
 will
 also
 provide
 the
 rise
 in
 defense
 budget,
 which
 makes
 it
  an
 attractive
 defense
 market.
 
  2.2.5
 Opportunities
  We
 can
 say
 unless
 it
 opens
 its
 market
 for
 free
 trade
 it
 will
 be
 difficult
 its
 local
 companies
 to
  compete
 at
 global
 level.
 It
 is
 not
 a
 low
 cost
 manufacturing
 destination
 hence
 it
 can’t
 take
 that
  advantage
 from
 China.
 It
 has
 a
 labor,
 which
 is
 skilled
 in
 commercial
 aircraft
 industry
 but
 over
  all
 R&D
 is
 not
 up
 to
 the
 mark
 and
 IPR
 regulations
 are
 below
 average.
 Again
 in
 R&D
 India
 is
  becoming
 a
 global
 hub
 for
 A&D
 industry.
 
 
  2.2.6
 Suggestions
 


 

8
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  I
 would
 give
 the
 following
 suggestions:
  1. Allow
 the
 local
 companies
 to
 compete
 with
 global
 companies
 in
 domestic
 market
 so
 that
  they
 may
 become
 strong
 to
 survive
 in
 International
 Market.
 This
 can
 be
 done
 by
  removing
 trade
 barriers
 and
 also
 promoting
 JV(Joint
 ventures)
 and
 FDI.
  2. IPR
 regulations
 to
 be
 made
 stringent
 at
 preset
 they
 are
 the
 lowest
 among
 BRIC
  countries.(Exhibit
  3. They
 should
 try
 to
 improve
 in
 ITES
 sector
 at
 least
 so
 that
 they
 can
 offer
 the
 complete
  package
 as
 they
 have
 all
 other
 resources
 available.
  4. They
 are
 in
 South
 America
 which
 is
 full
 of
 Emerging
 economies
 hence
 can
 make
 their
  presence
 in
 that
 growing
 market.
  5. Can
 target
 BRIC
 market
 especially
 India,
 requires
 a
 lot
 of
 business
 jets.
 
 

2.2
 A&D
 Industry
 in
 Russia
 

 800.00
 
 
 700.00
 
 
 600.00
 
 
 500.00
 
 
 400.00
 
 
 300.00
 
 
 200.00
 
 
 100.00
 
 
 -­?
 
 
 
  2007
  2008
 

Aerospace
 Industry
 Export
 &
 Import
 

Russia
 Export
  Russia
 Import
 


 
  2.2.1
 Present
 Scenario
  Russia
 was
 once
 a
 superpower
 but
 with
 time
 it
 lost
 its
 glory
 is
 now
 again
 want
 to
 resurrects
 for
  the
 ashes.
 It
 is
 one
 of
 the
 most
 technological
 advanced
 nation
 specially
 in
 defense
 sector.
 There
  are
 one
 of
 the
 best
 in
 Arm
 design
 and
 manufacture
 AK-­?47
 is
 one
 of
 the
 example,
 even
 it
 is
  considered
 better
 than
 similar
 American
 &
 German
 Assault
 riffles.
 And
 in
 defense
 aircraft
  sector
 they
 have
 a
 very
 successful
 Sukhoi
 30,
 Sukhoi-­?35
 the
 latest.
 But
 if
 we
 see
 the
 exports
 and
  imports
 in
 Aerospace
 product
 its
 742.16
 and
 192.38
 million
 USD
 respectively.
 The
 core
  competency
 of
 Russians
 can
 be
 said
 in
 Defense
 sector
 from
 arms
 to
 aircrafts.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

2009
 

2010
 

2011
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

9
 


  2.2.2
 PEST
 Analysis
 
 

PEST(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(RUSSIA(
POLITICAL(&(POLICY( 1.? Poli0cal(instablity.( 2.? Corrup0on.( 3.? Defense(top(most(priority.( 4.? Moderniza0on(of(defense(forces.( 5.? Recently(changed(the(poli0cal(model(from( communist(to(democra0c.( ( ( SOCIAL'&'LEGAL' 1.? Less'English'speaking'popula9on.' 2.? Highly'dependent'on'local'language.' 3.? Deep'impact'of'communist'teachings.' 4.? As'per'area'the'largest'country'and'as'per' popula9on'stands'at'…'hence'local'domes9c' airline'network'exists'but'is'not'operated'in'an' e?ec9ve'manner.' 5.? Unemployment'is'a'major'issue.' 6.? Low'IPR'protec9on'laws.' ECONOMIC( 1.? As(as(Per(GDP(9th(and(6th(largest(economy.( 2.? Basically(based(on(natural(resources.( 3.? A(con0nuously(rise(in(defence(budget(making( it(a(poten0al(market.( 4.? Has(second(largest(numbers(of(air((ports(in( world(hence(a(big(poten0al(for(commercial(air( tra?c.( 5.? Rise(in(Sovereign(debt.( 6.? S0ll(not(a(part(of(WTO.( TECHNOLOGICAL' 1.? DNA'of'an'earlier'Super'power'with'pro?ciency' in'high'end'technology.' 2.? A'leader'among'BRICS'in'A&D'sector'in'terms' of'technology'advancement.' 3.? Have'local'companies'in'R&D,'Manufacturing'&' MRO'sector'of'A&D'industry.'Ie.'Sukhoi,' Antonov'etc'

2.2.3
 SWOT
 Analysis
 


 

SWOT(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(RUSSIA(
STRENGTH( 1.? 1.(DNA(of(an(earlier(Super(power(with(pro?ciency(in(high( end(technology.( 2.? A(leader(among(BRICS(in(A&D(sector(in(terms(of(technology( advancement.( 3.? Have(local(companies(in(R&D,(Manufacturing(&(MRO(sector( of(A&D(industry.(Ie.(Sukhoi,(Antonov(etc(Defense(top(most( priority.( 4.? A(conMnuously(rise(in(defence(budget(making(it(a(potenMal( market.( 5.? Has(second(largest(numbers(of(air((ports(in(world(hence(a( big(potenMal(for(commercial(air(tra?c.( 6.? Russian(products(are(generally(considered(robust.( WEAKNESS( 1.? (Low(IPR(protecMon(laws.(( 2.? Rise(in(Sovereign(debt.( 3.? SMll(not(a(part(of(WTO.( 4.? Non(avaliablity(of(aVer(sales(service.( 5.? Totally(dependent(on(Russian(language(specially(in( technology(which(makes(it(di?cult(for(entering(into(global( market(&(seWng(global(R&D,manufacturing(&(MRO( centers.( 6.? Geographical(locaMon(leser(number(of(ports(and(country( lies(far(away(from(the(major(growing(market(ie.(Africa,( AsiaYsubconMnent(&(South(America.( 7.? Lack(of(engineers(&(managers(for(A&D(Industry.( 8.? AdaptaMon(of(western(Quality(Standards(and(neither(any( development(of(Quality(Standards.( 9.? No(FDI(in(A&D(sector(and(lack(of(competaMon(due(to(less( number(of(private(players.( THREATS* 1.? The*Overall*Growth*of*China*in*A&D*sector*is*posing*a* serious*compeKKon*to*Russia.* 2.? A&D*industry*accept*the*western*Quality*&*Industry* standards*compulsory*to*adhere*to*sustain*in*Global*Market.* 3.? The*rise*of*outsourcing*business*in*India*for*A&D*Industry.* 4.? HesitaKon*of*western*countries*in*sharing*technology*&* placing*R&D*faciliKes.*

OPPORTUNITIES* 1.? Rise*in*the*A&D*market*in*BRICS*countries.* 2.? Already*a*major*player*in*?ghter*aircraG*manufacturing*&* defense*sector.*** 3.? Has*a*good*relaKon*with*the*governments*of*BRICS*countries* and*that*is*the*major*growing*porKon*in*A&D*sector.*


 
 
  2.2.4
 Market
 Growth
  Russia
 is
 a
 developing
 market
 specially
 for
 commercial
 air
 traffic.
 It
 is
 the
 largest
 country
 in
  terms
 of
 land
 and
 for
 population
 to
 travel
 across
 it
 air
 travel
 is
 the
 only
 option.
 
 As
 it
 is
 already
 

10
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  a
 big
 producer
 of
 arms
 and
 fighter
 aircraft
 hence
 it
 is
 not
 much
 dependent
 on
 outside
 world
 for
  its
 defense
 needs.
 Still
 it
 is
 a
 growing
 market
 as
 its
 defense
 budget
 was
 64.12
 billion
 USD.
 
 
  2.2.5
 Opportunities
  I
 can
 clearly
 see
 an
 opportunity
 for
 Russia
 in
 World
 Defense
 market
 especially
 in
 Arms
 &
  Fighter
 Aircraft
 area.
 Their
 products
 are
 robust
 but
 lack
 service
 support
 and
 spares.
 They
 have
  a
 large
 market
 among
 BRIC
 nations
 such
 as
 India
 ,China
 &
 Brazil.
 They
 can
 eye
 commercial
 and
  cargo
 aircrafts
 too.
 At
 present
 one
 of
 the
 largest
 cargo
 aircraft
 Antonov
 An
 225
 was
 built
 by
  Russia
 and
 is
 used
 for
 transportations
 of
 space
 shuttles,
 heavy
 machinery
 etc.
 
 
 
 
  Suggestions
  I
 would
 suggest
 Russia
 to
 target
 markets
 of
 BRIC
 in
 defense
 market
 with
 improving
 its
 service
  &
 spares
 support.
 It
 can
 also
 open
 its
 service
 wings
 as
 a
 JV
 with
 the
 local
 players
 of
 each
  country
 so
 that
 it
 may
 have
 an
 cost
 advantage
 too.
 It
 can
 focus
 the
 manufacturing
 cargo
  aircrafts
 and
 outsource
 offset
 activities
 to
 India
 or
 China.
 India
 is
 world’s
 largest
 buyer
 of
 arms
  and
 so
 Russia
 can
 target
 Indian
 market
 for
 the
 same.
 
 

2.3
 A&D
 Industry
 in
 India
 

 4,000.00
 
 
 3,000.00
 
 
 2,000.00
 
 
 1,000.00
 
 
 -­?
 
 
 
  2007
 

Aerospace
 Industry
 Export
 &
 Import
 

India
 Export
  India
 Import
 

2008
 

2009
 

2010
 

2011
 

2.3.1
 Present
 Scenario
  The
 above
 graph
 represents
 the
 trend
 of
 Indian
 Exports
 &
 Imports
 in
 Aerospace
 sector.
 We
 can
  clearly
 see
 that
 the
 present
 exports
 are
 1990.11
 and
 57.26
 million
 USD
 in
 year
 2011.This
 also
  shows
 an
 aspect
 that
 we
 are
 basically
 exporting
 the
 services
 (IT
 &
 R&D)
 and
 smaller
 level
  offset
 units
 which
 are
 mostly
 tier
 3
 suppliers.
 Hence
 a
 lager
 market
 exists
 of
 tier
 1&2
 suppliers
  also
 Indian
 Government
 promoting
 OEMs
 to
 set
 up
 an
 assembly
 line
 and
 the
 R&D.
 Though
 the
  OEMs
 have
 started
 investing
 in
 R&D
 which
 can
 be
 confirmed
 by
 the
 statistics
 given
 in
 A&D
  Insights
 2011
 by
 pwc
 (Exhibit
 7)
 in
 a
 period
 between
 2000-­?2011
 about
 12
 investments
 have
 been
  made
 by
 top
 50
 ranking
 companies
 as
 ranked
 by
 Flight
 International
 Top
 100
 and
 about
 20
 in
  manufacturing
 sector
 of
 Aerospace.
 India
 has
 got
 an
 advantage
 where
 global
 players
 are
  investing
 in
 R&D
 and
 got
 a
 lead
 and
 slowly
 it
 is
 gaining
 some
 momentum
 in
 manufacturing
  though
 it
 will
 take
 some
 time
 to
 give
 competition
 to
 China.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Where
 else
 it
 has
 definitely
 become
 a
 hot
 market
 for
 defense
 deals
 with
 the
 10.2
 billion
 USD
  Rafael
 deal
 or
 the
 Hercules
 &
 P-­?8I
 aircrafts
 deals
 which
 Boeing
 has
 won.
 In
 additional
 to
 this
  India
 is
 also
 developing
 its
 indigenized
 4.5
 generation,
 single
 engine,
 single
 seater
 
 Light
  Combat
 Aircraft
 (LCA)
 or
 commonly
 known
 as
 Tejas.
 It
 is
 now
 in
 its
 final
 phase
 and
 it
 expected
  to
 join
 the
 nation
 defense
 by
 
 2020.
 Also
 its
 fairly
 independent
 on
 manufacturing
 of
 Combat
  Helicopters
 such
 as
 (LCH)
 and
 others
 as
 Dhruv.
 This
 has
 given
 India
 a
 through
 experience
 of
  working
 in
 R&D
 and
 manufacturing
 of
 Fighter
 aircrafts.
 With
 the
 organizations
 such
 as
 


 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

11
 


  DRDO(Defense
 Research
 and
 Development
 Organization),
 ADA(Aeronautical
 Development
  Organization),
 ADE(Aeronautical
 Development
 Establishment),
 HAL(Hindustan
 Aernautical
  Limited)
 and
 BEL(Bharat
 Electronics
 limited).
 Where
 DRDO,ADA,NAL
 &
 ADE
 caters
 the
 R&D
  requirement,
 BEL
 is
 manufacturing
 the
 electronics
 related
 to
 FCS(Flight
 Control
 System)
 and
  WMS(Weapon
 Management
 System)
 and
 HAL
 overall
 assembly
 and
 manufacturing.
  The
 development
 of
 UAV(Unmanned
 Air
 Vehicles)
 is
 in
 very
 nascent
 stage.
 Hence
 we
 can
 say
  India
 has
 the
 basic
 building
 blocks
 for
 A&D
 industry,
 which
 are
 all
 following
 international
  standards
 such
 as
 AS9100
 Rev
 C
 &
 EMS
 140001.
 
 
  2.3.2
 PEST
 Analysis
 

PEST(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(INDIA(

POLITICAL(&(POLICY( 1.? Government(support.( 2.? Induc;on(of(GAAR((General(An;(Avoidance(Rule).( 3.? Poli;cal(stability,(regulatory(e?ec;veness,(rule(of(law(and( sovereign(debt.( 4.? Corrup;on( 5.? Regional(issues(overpowering(important(country(level( economic(decisions.( 6.? Defense(Produc;on(policy(&(Defense(Procurement( Policy(DPP).( 7.? Many(eminent(economist(in(poli;cal(senario.( 8.? Defense(of(the(country(is(of(highest(priority.( 9.? Di?culty(in(star;ng(a(business(specially(in(A&D(sector.( SOCIAL(&(LEGAL( 1.? Constant)treat)from)terrorists.) 2.? Many)interna2onal)disputes)with)neighbors.) 3.? Safeguarding)Long)cost)lines.) 4.? Second)largest)army)of)the)world.) 5.? )Low)cost)labor.) 6.? Pool)of)second)largest)English)speakers.) 7.? Large)pool)of)skilled)manpower)required)for)A&D)industry)is) available.) 8.? Labor)problems.) 9.? Improvement)in)IPR)environment)with)the)onset)of) pharmaceu2cals)companies.) 10.? BeQer)equipped)legal)system.))) 11.? Highly)consolidated)SMEs)Base.) 12.? Highest)no.)of)scien2st)&)engineers.)

ECONOMIC( 1.? Major(economic(reforms(done(in(last(20(years.( 2.? One(of(the(fastest(growing(economy(of(world(ranked(at(11( as(per(GDP(and((4th(largest(economy.( 3.? Increase(in(defense(budget(on(an(yearly(average(of(8%.( 4.? Huge(poten;al(for(Air(tra?c(business(as(2nd(largest( country(popula;on)(and(7th(largest((Land).( 5.? One(of(the(highest(saving(fund.( 6.? Defense(O?set(Policy.( 7.? Recently(A&D(sector(opened(for(private(players(with( investment(upto(100%(and(FDI(upto(26%.( 8.? Largest(importer(of(Arms.( 9.? Founding(member(of(WTO.( TECHNOLOGICAL( 1.? Availability)of))founda2ons)for)developing)a)robust)industrial) base)in)the)aerospace)and)defense)(A&D))sector)for) R&D,OEMs)&)MROs)(Maintaince)Repair)and)Opera2ons))ie.) DRDO,)HAL)etc.) 2.? Indigenized)development)of))Helicopters)by)(HAL))and) AircraX)(LCA/TEJAS))is)under)progress.) 3.? Experience)of)producing)robust))A&D)equipment)at)low)cost.) 4.? Availability)of))talent)suitable)for)A&D)Industry.) 5.? Knowledge)&)Implementa2on)of)Interna2onal)Quality) Standards)required)for)A&D)Industry)is)available.) 6.? Availability)of))all)technical)exper2se)ie.)ITES,)Manufacturing,) Management)and)R&D.)Makes)it)a)complete)package.)) 7.? Has)a)well)recognized)and)economical)space)program) operated)by)ISRO)which)is)a)recognized)name)at)Global)level.)


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 

12
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  2.3.3
 SWOT
 Analysis
 

SWOT(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(INDIA(
STRENGTH( 1.? Government(support.( 2.? Availability(of((founda>ons(for(developing(a(robust(industrial(base(in(the(aerospace(and( defense((A&D)(sector(for(R&D,OEMs(&(MROs((Maintaince(Repair(and(Opera>ons)(ie.(DRDO,( HAL(etc.( 3.? Knowledge(&(Implementa>on(of(Interna>onal(Quality(Standards(required(for(A&D(Industry(is( available.( 4.? Recently(A&D(sector(opened(for(private(players(with(investment(upto(100%(and(FDI(upto(26%.( 5.? Increase(in(defence(budget(on(an(yearly(average(of(8%.( 6.? Defense(O?set(Policy.( 7.? Many(eminent(economist(in(poli>cal(senario.(( 8.? Pool(of(second(largest(English(speakers.( 9.? Low(cost(labor.( 10.? Improvement(in(IPR(environment(with(the(onset(of(pharmaceu>cals(companies.( 11.? Be]er(equipped(legal(system.(( 12.? (Huge(poten>al(for(Air(tra?c(business(as(2nd(largest(country(popula>on)(and(7th(largest((Land).( 13.? Strong(IT(service(sector(and(similarly(Automobile(manufacturing(sector.(( 14.? Adaptability(to(changed(scenario.( OPPORTUNITIES( 1.? It%is%one%of%the%fastest%developing%market%and%so%the%items%can%be%manufactured%as%all%required% resources%are%available.% 2.? Can%become%a%MRO%hub%for%A&D%industry%because%of%availability%of%low%cost%human%resource.% 3.? India%is%strategically%%located%and%developing%markets%of%Middle%East,%ASEAN%&%ASIA%can%be% targeted.% 4.? Largest%no.%of%scienKst%and%engineers.%% 5.? Increasing%domesKc%players%involvement%in%Indian%defense%industry%HALNBoeing,%BELNBoeing,% UTCNBEL.% 6.? Increase%in%overseas%suppliers%involvement%in%Indian%defense%industry.% 7.? Because%of%recession%&%Eurozone%crisis%pro?t%margins%of%A&D%?rms%are%squeezed%hence%to% increase%pro?t%they%will%try%to%reduce%their%cost%by%mostly%outsourcing.%% 8.? Can%be%a%preferred%choice%for%manufacturing%for%Europe%&%US’s%OEMs%shiXs%their%base%from% Europe%as%it%relaKvely%neutral%%rather%than%China%&%Russia.% WEAKNESS( 1.? Induc>on(of(GAAR((General(An>(Avoidance( Rule).( 2.? Corrup>on( 3.? Di?culty(in(star>ng(a(business(specially(in( A&D(sector.( 4.? Pool(of(second(largest(English(speakers.( 5.? Low(innova>on.( 6.? Very(long(product(cycle(>me(as(many( approvals(&(checks(to(be(done.( 7.? Labor(problems.( 8.? Regional(issues(overpowering(important( country(level(economic(decions.( 9.? Poli>cal(inbstability,(regulatory(inb e?ec>veness,(rule(of(law(and(sovereign( debt.( 10.? Strategic(Barriers.( 11.? Lack(of(Infrastructure(and(the(increase(in( Energy(de?cient.(( THREATS( 1.Stratergic%barriers%fot%criKcal%technologies%&% source%codes,%IP.%% 2.%US%InternaKonal%Tra?c%in%Arms%RegulaKons%ITAR% restricKons.% 3.Exchange%change%risk%ie.%DepreciaKon%in%dollar.% 4.Tough%compeKKon%from%Brazil,%China%&%Russia.% 5.ReducKon%in%overall%defense%budget.% 6.DegradaKon%of%India’s%raKng%by%InternaKonal% Agencies%ie.%S&P%has%reduced%from%BBB+%to%BBBN.%%% %


 
  2.3.4
 Market
 Growth
  India
 has
 continuously
 raised
 its
 defense
 budget
 during
 last
 5
 years,
 and
 for
 the
 year
 of
 2011
 it
  was
 approximately
 44.28
 billion
 USD,
 which
 is
 about
 4%
 of
 its
 GDP.
 It
 is
 the
 largest
 importer
 of
  Arms.
 And
 recent
 modernization
 of
 its
 Air
 Force
 has
 opened
 new
 doors
 of
 opportunity
 tor
  global
 players.
 It
 is
 definitely
 an
 attractive
 market
 in
 defense.
  If
 we
 see
 the
 Aerospace
 sector
 India
 has
 a
 huge
 potential
 for
 Air
 Traffic.
 As
 per
 capita
 income
 is
  increasing
 hence
 the
 purchasing
 power
 of
 middle
 class
 
 is
 also
 increasing
 which
 will
 extend
 the
  air
 traffic
 market
 to
 Indian
 middle
 class.
 This
 makes
 it
 a
 lucrative
 market
 for
 Global
  Commercial
 Aircraft
 Manufacturers.
 
 
  2.3.5
 Opportunities
  Discussing
 about
 opportunities
 we
 can
 say
 that
 India
 hasn’t
 got
 much
 experience
 in
 arms
  designing
 &
 manufacturing
 but
 there
 is
 definitely
 potential
 in
 Designing
 and
 manufacturing
 of
  fighter
 and
 military
 aircrafts
 and
 offset
 outsourcing
 of
 R&D
 and
 manufacturing
 activities
 in
  commercial
 aircraft
 market.
  It
 has
 got
 organizations
 like
 DRDO,
 HAL
 &
 BEL,
 which
 are
 AS9100
 Rev
 C
 certified
 (HAL-­?LCA
  SBU
 &
 BEL-­?EW&A
 SBU)
 and
 
 HAL,
 BEL
 &
 other
 private
 companies
 acting
 as
 tier
 2
 &
 1
 suppliers
  for
 Boeing.
 There
 are
 many
 R&D
 have
 been
 set
 up.
 Also
 the
 players
 like
 Rafael
 Dassault
 ,
  Lockheed
 Martin
 &
 Boeing
 have
 entered
 into
 JV(Joint
 Venture)
 with
 Indian
 companies.
 During
  the
 Aero
 India
 2011
 about
 the
 contracts
 of
 about
 2
 billions
 USD
 were
 signed
 between
 Indian
 &
  Foreign
 companies.
 Indian
 government
 has
 increased
 the
 competation
 in
 A&D
 sector
 by
  allowing
 few
 of
 Indian
 private
 Companies
 such
 as
 Wipro,
 Mahindra,
 Infosys,
 Tata,
 L&T
 &
  Reliance
 and
 giving
 them
 a
 title
 “Raksha
 Ratna”.Earlier
 the
 A&D
 sector
 was
 dominated
 by
 PSU
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

13
 


  (Public
 Sector
 Units)
 and
 Government.
 Also
 as
 per
 DPP(Defense
 Procurement
 Procedure)
 2011
  for
 any
 A&D
 contract
 at
 least
 30%
 of
 job
 to
 be
 outsourced
 to
 Indian
 Companies.FDI
 upto
 26%
 is
  allowed
 in
 A&D
 sector,
 special
 benefits
 are
 given
 to
 foreign
 companies
 setting
 up
 their
 R&D
  centers
 in
 India.
 In
 India
 R&D,
 manufacturing
 &
 (IT)
 services
 all
 three
 are
 available
 hence
 it
  offers
 a
 very
 good
 package
 for
 global
 players
 to
 outsource
 their
 activities
 to
 
 take
 advantage
 of
  low
 cost
 skilled
 talent.
 Also
 there
 is
 a
 large
 opportunity
 in
 MRO
 (Maintaince
 ,
 Repair
 &
  Overhaul
 sector)
 at
 present
 Singapore
 is
 the
 MRO
 hub
 for
 all
 commercial
 aircrafts
 for
 Asia-­? pacific
 region.
 The
 problem
 is
 that
 Indian
 government
 has
 put
 heavy
 import
 duties
 about
 19-­? 20%
 on
 the
 equipment’s
 required
 for
 MRO.
 As
 I
 have
 already
 discussed
 earlier
 that
 the
  cumulative
 cost
 of
 service
 (MRO)
 of
 
 an
 aircraft
 during
 its
 useful
 life
 is
 equivalent
 to
 its
 initial
  cost.
 Hence
 it
 is
 a
 market
 with
 huge
 potential.
  If
 we
 consider
 the
 challenges,
 which
 India
 faces,
 are
 average
 IPR
 protective
 laws
 and
 the
 risk
 of
  frauds.
 
 
  Suggestions
  Government
 should
 continue
 its
 industry
 friendly
 policies
 and
 also
 make
 some
 A&D
 specialized
  SEZ(Special
 Economic
 Zone).
 Import
 duties
 on
 equipment’s
 related
 to
 MRO
 should
 be
 reduced
  or
 removed
 ,
 IPR
 laws
 should
 be
 made
 stringent
 and
 frauds
 should
 be
 dealt
 strictly.
 
 
  2.4
 A&D
 Industry
 in
 China
  Aerospace
 Industry
 Export
 &
 Import
 


 
 
  2.4.1
 Present
 Scenario
  China
 as
 expected
 is
 un-­?doubly
 the
 leader
 of
 BRIC
 and
 it
 is
 keeping
 its
 position
 even
 in
 A&D
  industry
 too.
 Just
 referring
 this
 Aerospace
 export
 &
 import
 graph
 we
 can
 see
 that
 in
 year
 2011
  export
 and
 imports
 were
 6391.72
 million
 USD
 and
 622.32
 million
 USD
 respectively.
 The
  exports
 are
 huge
 as
 compared
 to
 Imports,
 which
 shows
 it
 is
 already
 a
 manufacturing
 factory
 of
  A&D
 industry
 though
 still
 there
 is
 potential
 to
 increase
 it.
  And
 even
 in
 defense
 sector
 they
 are
 self-­?sufficient.
 Their
 fighters
 are
 one
 of
 the
 best
 in
 world.
  And
 now
 they
 are
 planning
 to
 break
 the
 duopoly
 of
 Boeing
 &
 Airbus
 from
 Commercial
 Aircraft
  sector
 by
 launching
 their
 fully
 indigenously
 built
 commercial
 jet.
 Comac
 ARJ21
 and
 Comac
 


 

14
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  C919
 are
 two
 variants
 Comac
 (Commercial
 Aircraft
 Corporation
 of
 China,
 Ltd.)
 is
 planning
  to
 launch
 challenging
 Boeing
 &
 Airbus.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  2.4.2
 PEST
 Analysis
 

PEST(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(CHINA(
POLITICAL(&(POLICY( 1.? Stable(Government.( 2.? Full(Support(to(A&D(sector(by( government.( 3.? No(private(sector(&(No(FDI(in(Defense(&( Defence(Avionics.(( 4.? 35%(FDI(allowed(in(Commercial(AircraK( sector.( ( SOCIAL(&(LEGAL( 1.? High'morale'due'to'recent'economic' success'of'China.' 2.? Required'talent'available'which'can'be' directly'used'for'A&D'industry.' 3.? Language'Barrier.' 4.? China'A&D'sector'works'in'highly'closed' environment'as'dominated'by'SOEs'and' closely'monitored'by'Government.' ECONOMIC( 1.? Second(largest(Economy(&(Second(as(per(GDP.( 2.? ConNnuous(increase(in(Defense(budget.( 3.? SOEs(exists((in(Fighter(aircraK(&(Defense(producNon( but(presently(using(indigenizaNon(and(only( targeNng(domesNc(market.( 4.? (Presently(targeNng(the(domesNc(market(for(defense( sector(&(Global(market(for(Aerospace.( 5.? Low(cost(resource(available.(( TECHNOLOGICAL( 1.? SOEs'directly'coming'into'compeJJon'with'Boeing'&' Airbus'for'building'commercial'jets.' 2.? Has'all'the'technology'for'building'a'successful'A&D' Industry.' 3.? Are'aware'of'InternaJonal'Process'&'Quality' standards'and'can'follow'them.' 4.? Are'good'at'reOengineering.' 5.? Have'a'good'R&D'&'Manufacturing'sector.' 6.? Has'a'weak'IT'support'as'compared'to'India'for'A&D' sector.' 7.? Has'a'recently'developed'very'large'&'successful' Space'program.''
 


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

15
 


  2.4.3
 SWOT
 Analysis
 
 

SWOT(ANALYSIS(FOR(A&D(INDUSTRY(IN(CHINA(
STRENGTH( 1.? (Stable(Government.( 2.? Full(Support(to(A&D(sector(by(government.( 3.? 35%(FDI(allowed(in(Commercial(AircraH(sector.( 4.? ConJnuous(increase(in(Defense(budget.( 5.? Low(cost(resource(available.(( 6.? Required(talent(available(which(can(be(directly( used(for(A&D(industry.( 7.? Are(aware(of(InternaJonal(Process(&(Quality( standards(and(can(follow(them.( 8.? Are(good(at(reTengineering.( 9.? Has(the(required(Infrastructure.( OPPORTUNITIES( 1.? Can&give&a&tough&compe22on&Boeing&&&Airbus& in&near&future.& 2.? Can&become&leaders&in&2er&1,2,3&suppliers&for& A&D&sector.& 3.? China’s&rela2on&with&BRIC&countries.&& WEAKNESS( 1.? No(private(sector(&(No(FDI(in(Defense(&( Defense(Avionics.( 2.? Language(Barrier.( 3.? China(A&D(sector(works(in(highly(closed( environment(as(dominated(by(SOEs(and( closely(monitored(by(Government.( 4.? Chinese(Quality(is(sJll(a(concern(as(the( Chinese(products(are(not(widely(considered( robust.(( 5.? Lacks(the(support(in(IT(where(India(has(an( advantage.( THREATS( 1.? Rise&in&compe22on&from&India&as&a&Tier&1,2,3& supplier&for&A&D&sector.&& 2.? Hesita2on&in&western&countries&in&sharing& informa2on&with&China&as&it&can&become&their& compe2tor&in&near&future.& &


 
  2.4.4
 Market
 Growth
  China
 is
 a
 big
 market
 for
 Air
 Traffic,
 till
 now
 only
 big
 cities
 are
 connected
 still
 
 small
 towns
 are
  out
 of
 
 reach.
 Hence
 we
 can
 say
 the
 main
 market
 is
 still
 not
 tapped
 to
 its
 potential.
 This
 give
 a
  lot
 of
 opportunity
 for
 commercial
 airliners
 ie.
 Boeing
 &
 Airbus.
 As
 far
 as
 defense
 is
 considered
  they
 are
 independent
 enough
 and
 have
 a
 strong
 domestic
 defense
 industry.
 Also
 they
 haven’t
  open
 up
 their
 defense
 sector
 for
 outside
 world.
 
  2.4.5
 Opportunities
  They
 eyeing
 opportunity
 in
 commercial
 aircraft
 market
 which
 is
 now
 dominated
 by
 duopoly
 of
  Boeing
 &
 Airbus.
 They
 are
 planning
 to
 launch
 their
 first
 aircraft
 within
 a
 couple
 of
 years.
 They
  are
 already
 a
 hot
 destination
 for
 offset
 manufacturing.
 But
 are
 still
 not
 into
 global
 defense
  market.
 One
 basic
 reason
 may
 be
 the
 absence
 of
 private
 companies
 in
 Defense
 sector.
 They
 can
  also
 try
 to
 
 tap
 the
 MRO
 segment.
 
 
  Suggestions
  Chins
 is
 doing
 many
 things
 right.
 Just
 I
 would
 suggest
 them
 to
 built
 some
 trust
 in
 global
  companies
 so
 that
 they
 may
 open
 their
 R&D
 centers
 in
 China.
 Also
 they
 should
 make
 IPR
  regulations
 more
 stringent.
 In
 order
 to
 reduce
 language
 barrier
 Chinese
 government
 has
 made
  compulsory
 English
 education
 in
 schools.
 
 
 
 
 


 

16
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  2.6
 How
 to
 grow
 together
 as
 BRIC
 using
 A&D
 industry
 as
 a
 tool?
 
  Can
 BRIC
 works
 together
 as
 a
 team?
 Can
 they
 develop
 a
 sustainable
 model
 of
 co-­?operation?
  I
 can’t
 answer
 this
 at
 a
 general
 level
 but
 at
 the
 level
 of
 A&D
 industry
 it
 is
 fairly
 possible.
 One
 of
  the
 basic
 thing
 is
 that
 no
 two
 BRIC
 countries
 are
 similar
 in
 terms
 of
 core
 competencies
 and
 this
  can
 help
 them
 to
 work
 together
 also
 by
 doing
 so
 their
 dependence
 on
 US
 &
 Europe
 will
  drastically
 reduce.
 
  If
 I
 would
 had
 been
 given
 a
 task
 to
 frame
 a
 strategic
 policy
 for
 BRIC
 in
 A&D
 sector,
 first
 of
 all
 I
  would
 taken
 an
 account
 of
 core
 competencies
 of
 each
 BRIC
 country.
 
  Starting
 with
 Brazil
 we
 can
 say
 they
 have
 an
 upper
 hand
 in
 Business
 Jet
 segment
 they
 can
 focus
  on
 Business
 Jet
 markets
 and
 manufacture
 them.
 India
 ,China
 &
 Russia
 are
 one
 of
 the
 biggest
  markets
 for
 business
 jets
 as
 the
 growing
 number
 of
 business
 leaders,
 politicians
 &
 eminent
  personalities
 all
 require
 business
 jets.
 India
 ,China
 &
 Russia
 can
 give
 a
 preference
 Brazil’s
  business
 jets
 as
 they
 will
 be
 economical
 than
 those
 from
 US
 &
 Europe.
 
  While
 speaking
 about
 Russia
 one
 thing
 comes
 into
 mind
 is
 Sukhoi
 &
 AK
 47.
 Their
 core
  competencies
 are
 Fighter
 aircraft
 and
 Arms.
 They
 can
 produce
 them
 and
 sell
 them
 to
 India,
  Brazil
 and
 China.
 Russian
 products
 are
 economical
 &
 robust
 but
 the
 problem
 comes
 for
 spare
  part
 availability.
 This
 can
 be
 solved
 if
 Russia
 give
 some
 Indian
 or
 Chinese
 countries
 contract
 of
  producing
 spares
 parts
 for
 their
 Aircrafts.
 At
 present
 India
 is
 one
 of
 the
 largest
 buyer
 of
 arms
  and
 BRIC
 constitute
 16%
 of
 total
 world
 defense
 market.
 It’s
 a
 huge
 opportunity
 for
 Russia.
  India
 masters
 of
 IT
 services
 and
 a
 growing
 hub
 of
 R&D.
 India
 can
 provide
 the
 IT,R&D
 and
 all
  other
 services
 to
 all
 the
 requirements
 of
 Brazil’s
 Business
 jet
 company,
 Russian
 Defense
  industry
 
 and
 China’s
 commercial
 aircraft
 industry
 &
 offset
 manufacturing.
 It
 is
 also
 a
  destination
 of
 offset
 manufacturing
 after
 China
 in
 BRIC.
 This
 can
 help
 India
 to
 diversify
 its
  services
 industry
 at
 global
 level.
  China
 the
 most
 strongest
 economy
 of
 BRIC.
 It
 has
 bigger
 dreams
 than
 any
 of
 BRIC
 country.
 At
  present
 they
 are
 targeting
 commercial
 aircraft/jet
 market,
 which
 means
 to
 break
 the
 duo-­?poly
  of
 Airbus
 &
 Boeing.
 For
 China
 India,
 Russia
 &
 Brazil
 are
 certainly
 hot
 markets.
 India
 ,Brazil
 &
  Russia
 can
 give
 a
 preference
 to
 Chinese
 Commercial
 airliners
 as
 they
 will
 be
 economical.
 Also
  China
 is
 a
 hot
 destination
 for
 offset
 business
 means
 Brazil
 can
 shift
 some
 of
 its
 Embraer
 offset
  activities
 in
 China
 &
 India.
 
  If
 the
 above
 strategy
 can
 be
 implemented
 it
 will
 be
 a
 WIN-­?WIN
 situation
 for
 all
 BRIC
 Countries.
  BRIC
 countries
 should
 look
 each
 other’s
 as
 partners
 and
 not
 as
 competitors.
 
  -­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?-­?
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

17
 


  Exhibit
 1
  Present
 A&D
 Breakup
 

Exhibit2
 
Rank Company Revenues Profits Fortune/ %/change/ %/change/ $/millions $/millions 500/rank from/2009 from/2009 36 64,306.00 .5.8 3,307.00 152.1 44 54,326.00 2.7 4,373.00 14.2 52 46,890.00 3.8 2,926.00 .3.2 72 34,757.00 .1.5 2,053.00 21.8 81 33,370.00 8 2,022.00 .6.1 86 32,466.00 1.5 2,624.00 9.6 104 25,183.00 1.2 1,840.00 .4.9 159 15,680.00 0.4 955 6 217 11,155.00 2.3 798 24 233 10,525.00 .0.2 86 N.A. 337 6,966.90 4.2 578.7 .3.1 409 5,539.60 .19.9 921.8 .11.7 472 4,807.70 4.9 278.7 79.7 478 4,665.00 4.4 561 .5.6


 

1 Boeing 2 United6Technologies 3 Lockheed6Martin 4 Northrop6Grumman 5 Honeywell6International 6 General6Dynamics 7 Raytheon 8 L.36Communications 9 ITT 10 Textron 11 Goodrich 12 Precision6Castparts 13 Alliant6Techsystems 14 Rockwell6Collins Issue6date:6May623,62011 (Source:
 Fortune
 500)
 


 


 
 
  Exhibit3
  Recent
 Growth
 in
 A&D
 Sector
  2011
 
  Revenue
  $677
 

Operating Profit $60 Operating Margin 8.86% *All
 monitory
 figures
 in
 US$ billions (Source: Boeing annual report; EADS annual report)
 

2010
  $648
  $59.1 9.13%

Change 5% 2% -27bps


 

18
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


  Exhibit4
  Globalization
 

Exhibit
 5
 


 


 
 
 
  Exhibit
 6
 


 


 


 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 

19
 


 
  Exhibit
 7
 


 


 
 
  Exhibit
 8:
  IP
 Risk
 


 

20
 

Development
 &
 Opportunities
 of
 Aerospace
 &
 Defense
 (A&D)
 Industry
 in
 BRIC
 Countries
 


 
 
  Exhibit
 9
  Frauds
 &
 How
 they
 are
 dealt.
 


 
 
 
 
 
  Sources
 &
 References:
 
  1.A&D
 Insights
 2011
 by
 Mr.
 Neil
 Hampson
 
 published
 by
 PricewaterCoopers
 (PWC).
  2.
 A&D
 Insights
 2012
 by
 Mr.
 Neil
 Hampson
 
 published
 by
 PricewaterCoopers
 (PWC).
  3.
 Aerospace
 &
 Defence
 2011
 year
 in
 review
 and
 2012
 forecast
 by
 Mr.
 Neil
 Hampson
 and
 Mr.
  Scott
 Thompson
 
 published
 by
 PricewaterCoopers
 (PWC).
  4.
 Unlocking
 Potential
 Indian
 Aerospace
 &
 Defence
 Sector
 by
 KPMG
 
 &
 CII.
  5.
 SIPRI
 Military
 Expenditure
 Database
 2012.
  6.
 2012
 Global
 aerospace
 and
 defense
 industry
 outlook:A
 tale
 of
 two
 industries
 by
 
 Deloitte.
  7.Wikipedia
 
 


 



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